Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Picks and Prediction for Monday, July 13, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Phoenix Mercury travel to face the Minnesota Lynx on Monday, July 13, 2026, at Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 PM ET, with Peacock, NBCSN, and Victory+ MIN providing television coverage. Minnesota enters as a -625 moneyline favorite, while Phoenix is listed at +455. The Lynx are favored by 11.5 points, and the total is set at 168.5. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.
Phoenix Searches for Consistency on the Road
The Mercury bring an 8-16 overall record into Monday's contest and are 5-8 away from home this season. Phoenix has lost three straight games, falling to Las Vegas, Indiana, and Chicago after previously earning wins over Seattle and Toronto. That recent stretch has featured both productive performances and some difficult offensive nights.
Phoenix averages 82.6 points per game while allowing 86.6. The Mercury shoot 43 percent from the field and average 31.8 rebounds along with 18.9 assists. Defensively, they contribute 3.3 blocks and 7.5 steals per contest.
The biggest challenge for Phoenix has been finding consistent production at both ends of the floor. The Mercury score fewer points than they allow on average, and that difference has made it difficult to string together victories despite showing they can compete on certain nights.
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Minnesota Continues Its Strong Season
Minnesota enters the matchup with an outstanding 17-6 overall record and has gone 7-4 at home. The Lynx have won three of their last five games, picking up victories over New York, Connecticut, and Dallas while suffering narrow losses to Connecticut and New York. That recent run reflects the steady play that has carried Minnesota throughout the season.
The Lynx average 90.0 points per game while giving up only 80.9. Minnesota also shoots an impressive 48 percent from the field, averages 36.5 rebounds, and hands out 21.3 assists per contest. Defensively, the Lynx average 5.0 blocks and 8.8 steals each game.
Minnesota's greatest strength is its balance. The Lynx lead this matchup in scoring, points allowed, field goal percentage, rebounds, assists, blocks, and steals. Those advantages have translated into one of the league's best records entering this game.
Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Picks and Prediction
Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Pick
- Pick: Minnesota Lynx -11.5
Minnesota has been the better team throughout the season, owning a 17-6 record compared to Phoenix's 8-16 mark. The Lynx also hold a commanding 67.9 percent edge in the matchup predictor while averaging more points and allowing fewer than the Mercury. I'm backing Minnesota to cover the spread at home.
Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx Total Pick
- Pick: Under 168.5
I'm taking the under because Minnesota has allowed only 80.9 points per game this season, while Phoenix averages 82.6 offensively. The Lynx have consistently limited opponents, and I think their defensive numbers help keep this game below the posted total.
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota Lynx 89 – Phoenix Mercury 77
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