Phoenix Mercury vs Toronto Tempo Picks and Prediction for Saturday June 27 2026
Use Code SSWC The Phoenix Mercury travel to Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario, for a Saturday afternoon matchup against the Toronto Tempo. Tipoff is scheduled for 2:00 PM on June 27, with coverage available on CBS, Paramount+, and TSN. Toronto enters the game as a 2.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -166, while Phoenix is listed at +140. The total is set at 174.5 points. This matchup features two teams looking to build momentum after mixed results over their last five games. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.
Mercury Looking to Carry Recent Momentum North
Phoenix enters this contest with a 6-13 overall record and has gone 4-7 away from home this season. The Mercury have split their last five games, earning victories over Indiana and Seattle while falling to Indiana, Las Vegas, and Los Angeles. Their most recent outing was an impressive 111-109 road win over Indiana, giving them some confidence heading into another difficult road test.
The Mercury are averaging 83.7 points per game while allowing 87.2 points defensively. They are shooting 44% from the field while averaging 31.8 rebounds and 19.4 assists per contest. Defensively, Phoenix contributes 3.6 blocks and 7.5 steals per game, giving the club opportunities to create extra possessions even when scoring becomes difficult.
One encouraging sign for Phoenix is its balanced statistical profile. The Mercury shoot the same field goal percentage as Toronto and match the Tempo with 31.8 rebounds per game. However, allowing fewer points per contest than Toronto has could become an important factor if this game remains close during the fourth quarter.
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Tempo Hoping to Build on Explosive Offensive Showing
Toronto brings a 9-9 overall record into Saturday's matchup while posting a strong 5-3 record on its home court. The Tempo have gone 2-3 across their last five games, defeating Los Angeles and Connecticut while suffering losses against Atlanta and Indiana. Their latest performance was a dominant 125-97 victory over Los Angeles, showcasing the offensive potential this team can produce.
The Tempo average 91.4 points per game while giving up 92.1 points. They also shoot 44% from the floor, matching Phoenix in efficiency, while averaging 31.8 rebounds and 19.9 assists. Toronto has also contributed 3.6 blocks and 8.2 steals per game, showing an ability to generate turnovers that can quickly turn into transition opportunities.
Toronto's biggest strength has clearly been its offense. Averaging nearly eight more points per game than Phoenix gives the Tempo a statistical advantage entering this contest. Although they have allowed more points defensively than the Mercury, their ability to consistently score has helped them remain competitive throughout the season.
Phoenix Mercury vs Toronto Tempo Picks and Prediction
Phoenix Mercury vs Toronto Tempo Pick
- Pick: Toronto Tempo -2.5
Toronto enters this matchup with the better overall record, the stronger home record, and the higher scoring offense. While Phoenix comes off an impressive road victory and has been competitive recently, the Tempo's ability to average 91.4 points per game compared to Phoenix's 83.7 gives the home team a measurable edge. Toronto also enters this contest after scoring 125 points in its most recent game, making the Tempo my pick to cover the small spread.
Phoenix Mercury vs Toronto Tempo Total Pick
- Pick: Over 174.5
I'm taking the over because both teams have shown they can produce offense recently. Phoenix scored 111 points in its latest victory, while Toronto exploded for 125 points in its last outing. Even though both teams have similar shooting percentages, their recent scoring performances suggest this matchup has a strong opportunity to finish above the posted total.
Final Score Prediction
Toronto Tempo 92 – Phoenix Mercury 87
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