Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics Picks and Prediction for Thursday, September 4, 2025
Use Code SSWC The Phoenix Mercury (26-14), the fourth-placed team in the WNBA, are set to face off against the Washington Mystics (16-25), the WNBA’s 10th-ranked team, on September 4th at 7:30 PM ET at CareFirst Arena in WNBA nonconference action as we look at the Mercury vs. Mystics prediction. The Mercury are on a five-game winning streak as they are coming off an 85-79 home win over the Indiana Fever on Tuesday, while the Mystics are on a seven-game losing streak as they are coming off an 81-70 road loss on Sunday against the Los Angeles Sparks. This is the third and final game against one another as the Mercury are looking for the season sweep. Set the tone — WNBA picks for Phoenix Mercury vs Washington Mystics with clear angles.
Mercury Looking to Climb the Standings
The Phoenix Mercury are looking to continue racking up wins as they have been playing well this season. They are coming off a win at home against the Indiana Fever 85-79 and the team was aggressive as they attempted 23 free-throws throughout the game.
On offense, Phoenix manages to score an average of 83.1 points per game this season. Shooting accuracy stands at 43.5% from the field and 33.7% from the 3-point line, with a free-throw percentage of 79/0%. The offense has been going through forward Satou Sabally as she is averaging 16.5 points and 6.0 rebounds per game thus far.
Defensively, the Mercury have been brutal thus far, allowing 79.6 points per game with opponents shooting 42.6% from the field and 32.4% from beyond the arc.
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Injury Report for Phoenix
- Guard Julia Ayrault: Personal (OUT)
- Center Kalani Brown: Personal (OUT)
- Helena Pueyo: Personal (OUT)
Mystics Looking to Snap Losing Streak
The Washington Mystics have been struggling this season as they are already eliminated from playoff contention and have lost their previous seven games. They lost on the road against the Los Angeles Sparks 81-78 last time out and never held a lead of more than a single point.
Offensively, the Mystics are averaging 77.9 points per game. The efficiency is notable, with a field goal percentage of 44.1 and a 3-point percentage of 33.2. At the free-throw line, they have to show some improvement as they have a 75.9% success rate while doing a respectable job with their rebounds per game, sitting at 33.0. This offensive depth is going to be led by rookie guard Sonia Citron as she is averaging 15.1 points and 4.0 rebounds per game.
Defensively, Washington has been middling as they are conceding 81.6 points per game. Opponents have shot at a respectable level against them, with a field goal percentage allowed of 44.4% and a 3-point percentage that is allowing the opposition to connect on 32.6%.
Injury Report for Washington
- Guard Georgia Amoore: Knee (OUT)
- Center Bernadett Hatar: Not Injury Related (OUT)
- Guard Jacy Sheldon: Ankle (OUT)
Washington Mystics +9.5 (4 units)
The true shooting percentage shows these teams are similar to one another offensively as Phoenix is seventh in the WNBA with a 54.2 true shooting percentage, while Washington is 10th with a 53.4 true shooting percentage up to this point. The net ratings show these teams are closer to each other than the spread indicates as the Mercury are fourth in the sport with a 4.3 net rating, while the Mystics are 10th in basketball with a -5.1 net rating. Take the points in this game and expect the Washington Mystics to keep this game relatively close.
Under 160.5 (5 units)
These teams are struggling to shoot from beyond the arc this season as the Mercury are seventh with a 33.7 team 3-point percentage, while the Mystics are eighth with a 33.2 percentage from beyond the arc. Neither team does too well in terms of grabbing offensive rebounds, as Phoenix is eighth with a 29.5 offensive rebounding rate while Washington is 10th with a 29.3 offensive rebounding percentage. Take under 160.5 total points to be scored here.
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