Portland Fire vs Chicago Sky Picks and Prediction for Friday June 26 2026
The Portland Fire visit the Chicago Sky on Friday, June 26, 2026, at Wintrust Arena in Chicago, Illinois, with tipoff scheduled for 7:30 PM ET and coverage available on WNBA League Pass and ION. Portland enters at 8-10 overall and 2-5 away from home, while Chicago comes in at 5-12 overall and 2-6 at home. The Sky are listed as 4.5-point favorites, with Chicago at -4.5 at -115 and Portland at +4.5 at -105, while the moneyline has Chicago at -205 and Portland at +170. The total is set at 173.5 points, with both the over and under listed at -110. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.
Portland Searches for a Road Response
Portland comes into this matchup with an 8-10 overall record and a 2-5 mark away from home. The Fire have recently lost to Chicago 101-78, recently won over Seattle 94-89, recently lost to Minnesota 107-74, recently won over Dallas 84-83, and recently lost to Las Vegas 105-89. That gives Portland two wins in its last five games, but the road results remain a concern heading into another matchup in Chicago.
The Fire are averaging 82.0 points per game while allowing 88.8 points per game. Portland is shooting 44 percent from the field, averaging 28.4 rebounds, 19.8 assists, 4.2 blocks, and 6.9 steals per game. The offensive production has been respectable, and the assist number is slightly higher than Chicago’s, but the defensive points allowed number stands out.
The main issue for Portland is defense. Allowing 88.8 points per game puts pressure on the Fire to keep scoring at a high level just to stay within reach. Portland also trails Chicago by five full rebounds per game, which could matter if the Fire are giving up extra chances while trying to keep pace on the scoreboard.
Chicago Has a Chance to Build at Home
Chicago enters this game with a 5-12 overall record and a 2-6 home record. The Sky have recently won over Portland 101-78, recently lost to Connecticut 92-63, recently lost to Dallas 93-92, recently lost to New York 96-95, and recently lost to Indiana 114-106 in overtime. Chicago has only one win in its last five games, but that win came directly against Portland in a convincing result.
The Sky are averaging 83.5 points per game while allowing 88.2 points per game. Chicago is shooting 42 percent from the field, averaging 33.4 rebounds, 19.4 assists, 5.5 blocks, and 6.8 steals per game. The Sky have the better scoring average, rebounding number, and blocks average compared with Portland.
Chicago’s biggest edge in this matchup is on the glass and around the rim. The Sky average 33.4 rebounds compared with Portland’s 28.4, and Chicago also averages 5.5 blocks compared with Portland’s 4.2. When paired with the recent 101-78 win over the Fire, those numbers give Chicago a clear path to controlling possessions and protecting the favorite role at home.
Portland Fire vs Chicago Sky Picks and Prediction
Portland Fire vs Chicago Sky Pick
- Pick: Chicago Sky -4.5
Chicago is the pick against the spread because the Sky are favored at home and already recently won over Portland by a 101-78 score. Chicago also holds the edge in points per game, rebounds per game, blocks per game, and points allowed per game. Portland has the better overall record, but the Fire are just 2-5 away from home and are coming off that recent loss to this same Chicago team. Based only on the provided numbers, Chicago has enough statistical support to cover the 4.5-point spread.
Portland Fire vs Chicago Sky Total Pick
- Pick: Over 173.5
I lean over 173.5 because both teams are allowing more than 88 points per game, and the most recent matchup between these two teams reached 179 total points. Chicago is averaging 83.5 points per game, while Portland is averaging 82.0, and both teams have recently been involved in games with high final totals. With the defensive points allowed numbers sitting at 88.8 for Portland and 88.2 for Chicago, I expect enough scoring for this game to push over the number.
Final Score Prediction: Chicago Sky 91 – Portland Fire 84