Portland Fire vs Seattle Storm Picks and Prediction for Saturday July 4 2026
Use Code SSWC The Portland Fire travel to Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Washington, on Saturday, July 4, 2026, for a Western Conference matchup against the Seattle Storm. Tipoff is scheduled for 9:00 PM, and the game will be available on WNBA League Pass and KOMO-TV. Portland enters the contest with an 8-12 record, while Seattle comes in at 5-16. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. According to ESPN Analytics, the Storm have a 63.6% chance to win compared to 36.4% for the Fire. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks for more WNBA predictions and analysis.
Portland Looks to End a Difficult Road Stretch
The Fire enter Saturday with an 8-12 overall record and have struggled away from home, posting a 2-7 road mark. Portland has lost four of its last five games, most recently falling to Washington in a marathon 124-123 contest that went four overtimes. Before that, the Fire suffered back-to-back losses to Chicago by scores of 124-94 and 101-78. Their lone victory during the stretch came with a 94-89 home win over Seattle before another road defeat against Minnesota.
Portland has been productive offensively throughout the season, averaging 84.7 points per game while shooting 44% from the field. The Fire also average 29.0 rebounds, 20.2 assists, 4.4 blocks, and 7.4 steals per game. Defensively, however, the team has allowed 92.3 points per contest, making it difficult to consistently turn solid offensive performances into victories.
The Fire’s biggest strength has been their offensive efficiency. They own the higher scoring average, the better field goal percentage, and the higher assist average in this matchup. The challenge has been on the defensive end, where allowing more than 92 points per game has placed additional pressure on the offense every night.
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Seattle Returns Home Looking for Momentum
The Storm bring a 5-16 overall record into this matchup and have gone 4-7 at home this season. Seattle has split its last five games, winning two and losing three. The Storm are coming off a 90-67 loss at Phoenix after previously earning consecutive home victories over Atlanta by a 105-90 score and New York by a 99-88 margin. Earlier in the stretch, Seattle dropped an overtime decision to Dallas before another loss at Phoenix.
Seattle is averaging 80.4 points per game while allowing 86.4 points per contest. The Storm are shooting 43% from the field and averaging 31.9 rebounds, 19.0 assists, 4.6 blocks, and 7.0 steals per game. Those numbers show a team that has been competitive in several statistical categories despite its overall record.
Seattle’s biggest advantage comes on the defensive side compared to Portland. While the Storm have struggled this season, they are allowing 86.4 points per game, nearly six fewer than the Fire. They also hold a rebounding advantage and average slightly more blocks, giving them additional opportunities to limit second-chance scoring.
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm Picks and Prediction
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm Pick
- Pick: Seattle Storm Moneyline
Seattle enters this game with the edge in ESPN’s matchup predictor and has been much more competitive defensively than Portland throughout the season. The Storm have also won two of their last four games after a difficult stretch and return home, where they have played better than on the road. While Portland has produced the better offensive numbers, Seattle’s defensive edge gives me the slight advantage in this matchup.
Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm Total Pick
- Pick: Take the over if the total is set at 170.5
I would lean toward the over if the total is set at 170.5. Portland averages 84.7 points per game but also allows 92.3, while Seattle has averaged 80.4 points per contest and is allowing 86.4. Those defensive numbers create an opportunity for both offenses to find success, making the over my preferred play.
Final Score Prediction: Seattle Storm 89 – Portland Fire 84
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