Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction for Sunday, September 14, 2025
The Seattle Storm are heading to the Michelob ULTRA Arena on Sunday night to face off against the Las Vegas Aces in Game 1 of the WNBA Playoffs First Round action for our Storm vs. Aces prediction. The Storm finished the regular season with a 23-21 record and is coming off Tuesday’s 74-73 home win against the Golden State Valkyries. The Aces finished the regular season with a 30-14 record as they are on a 16-game winning streak after a 103-75 road win on Thursday against the Los Angeles Sparks. These teams split the four games during the regular season against one another. Trends, injuries, matchups — WNBA predictions for Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces.
Storm Looking to Steal Game 1
The Seattle Storm are coming off a come-from-behind 74-73 home win to wrap up the regular season against the Golden State Valkyries. The Storm shot 26-of-64 (40.6%) overall, 7-of-17 (41.2%) from beyond the arc, and 15-of-20 (75.0%) from the charity stripe. Veteran guard Erica Wheeler played well as in 32 minutes off the bench, she recorded 17 points, five rebounds, and two assists. The defense had a good showing in the win for Seattle as they allowed Golden State to shoot 40.0% throughout the game, 34.5% from distance, and 78.6% from the free-throw line.
Seattle was a struggling offensive team as they finished the regular season eighth in basketball with 82.1 points per game. The Storm stepped up on the defensive side of the court as they were fourth with 80.1 points per game allowed.
Injury Report for Seattle
- Guard Jordan Horston: Knee (OUT)
- Guard Nika Muhl: Knee (OUT)
- Forward Katie Lou Samuelson: Knee (OUT)
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Aces Enter Postseason on Fire
The Las Vegas Aces ended the regular season coming off a 103-75 road win against the Los Angeles Sparks. The Aces shot the basketball at an amazing rate as they were 38-of-78 (48.7%) from the floor, 22-of-45 (48.9%) from three, and 5-of-6 (83.3%) from the free-throw line. Center A’ja Wilson led the way with 23 points, 19 rebounds, four assists, two steals, and four blocks in 33 minutes of action. The defense did a great job as Los Angeles had a team shooting split of 42.5/15.4/90.0.
The Aces did a good job offensively in the regular season as they are sixth in the WNBA with 83.6 points per game. The defense performed at a similar level as they were seventh with 80.7 points per game against.
Injury Report for Las Vegas
- Guard Kierstan Bell: Leg (Questionable)
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces Pick
Spread Pick for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces
- Seattle Storm +6.5 (5 units)
These teams are very similar to one another as the net ratings show. Seattle is seventh in the sport with a 2.9 net rating, while Las Vegas is fifth with a 3.9 net rating during the regular season. The ability to defend shots shows they are going to be able to keep things close as the Storm were seventh in basketball with a 44.3 opposing field goal percentage, while the Aces finished sixth with a 43.6 field goal percentage against. The Aces would have covered this spread in all four regular-season games as well, so go with the Seattle Storm to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces
- OVER 159.5 (4 units)
These teams were able to push the pace as Seattle is sixth in the sport with a 95.28 pace while Las Vegas is seventh with a 94.92 pace during the regular season. Both sides are also able to score off turnovers as the Storm led the WNBA with 17.6 points off turnovers per game, while the Aces are fourth with 16.2 points off turnovers per game. All in all, go with OVER 159.5 POINTS in this game.
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