Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction for Thursday, September 18, 2025
The Seattle Storm are heading to the Michelob ULTRA Arena on Thursday night to face off against the Las Vegas Aces in Game 3 of the WNBA Playoffs First Round action for our Storm vs. Aces prediction. These teams have split the first two games of the series, and the winner of this game advances while the loser is eliminated. Tempo and matchup notes — WNBA picks for Seattle Storm vs Las Vegas Aces in one quick read.
Storm Zero Right Now
The Seattle Storm are looking to have momentum after an 86-83 Game 2 home win over the Las Vegas Aces. The Storm shot 33-of-72 (45.8%) overall, 10-of-20 (50.0%) from beyond the arc, and 10-of-12 (83.3%) from the charity stripe. Veteran guard Skylar Diggins played well as in 68 minutes, she recorded 26 points, one rebound, seven assists, two steals, one block, and four turnovers. The defense had a relatively poor showing in Seattle's win, allowing Las Vegas to shoot 50.0% from the field, 36.8% from distance, and 69.0% from the free-throw line throughout the game.
Seattle was a struggling offensive team as they finished the regular season eighth in basketball with 82.1 points per game. The Storm stepped up on the defensive side of the court, ranking fourth with 80.1 points allowed per game.
Injury Report for Seattle
- Guard Jordan Horston: Knee (OUT)
- Guard Nika Muhl: Knee (OUT)
- Forward Katie Lou Samuelson: Knee (OUT)
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Aces Looking to Recover After Losing Streak Ended
The Las Vegas Aces had their losing streak end after an 86-83 home loss in Game 2 against the Seattle Storm. The Aces shot the basketball at a solid rate as they were 28-of-56 (50.0%) from the floor, 7-of-19 (36.8%) from three, and 20-of-29 (69.0%) from the free-throw line. Guard Jackie Young led the way with 25 points, five rebounds, four assists, and one steal in 35 minutes of action. The defense struggled as Seattle had a team shooting split of 45.8/50.0/83.3.
The Aces did a good job offensively in the regular season as they are sixth in the WNBA with 83.6 points per game. The defense performed at a similar level as they were seventh with 80.7 points per game against.
Injury Report for Las Vegas
No injuries to report
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces Pick
Spread Pick for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces
- Las Vegas Aces -7.5 (5 units)
The Seattle Storm are a good team, but the Las Vegas Aces are clearly the better overall team, even after their winning streak was snapped. The Stor needed a massive 16-4 run to close out the game in Game 2 to narrowly escape with the win. Las Vegas is one of the best teams and should rely on A’ja Wilson to dominate in this game, as she is averaging 25.0 points, 10.5 rebounds, 3.5 assists, 2.0 blocks, and 2.0 steals per game this postseason early on. All in all, go with the Las Vegas Aces to cover the spread and dominate in a win-or-go-home Game 3.
Over/Under Pick for Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces
- OVER 159.5 (4 units)
These teams have been doing a phenomenal job in their first two games of the postseason as Seattle leads the WNBA with a 44.7 team 3-point percentage, while Las Vegas is second with a 43.8 team percentage from beyond the arc in the early stages of the playoffs. Both sides in this series are also doing a great job at grabbing offensive rebounds, as the Aces are fourth with a 31.0 offensive rebounding percentage, while the Storm is sixth with a 26.8 team offensive rebounding rate. Take OVER 159.5 POINTS to be the better option here.
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