Seattle Storm vs Los Angeles Sparks Picks and Prediction for Monday, July 6, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 07/06/2026, 12:50 AM ET
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The Seattle Storm and Los Angeles Sparks meet on Monday, July 6, 2026, at crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM with television coverage on USA Net and Spectrum Sports Net. Los Angeles enters as a -170 moneyline favorite, while Seattle is listed at +142. The Sparks are favored by 3.5 points, the Storm are +3.5, and the total is set at 174.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks for even more basketball predictions and betting analysis.

Seattle Searches for an End to Its Road Struggles

The Storm enter this matchup with a 5-17 overall record and a difficult 1-9 road record. Seattle has gone 2-3 over its last five games, recently losing to Portland and Phoenix after consecutive victories over Atlanta and New York. Before those wins, the Storm dropped an overtime contest against Dallas, showing they have been competitive at times despite their overall record.

Seattle is averaging 80.0 points per game while allowing 86.0 points per contest. The Storm are shooting 42% from the field and averaging 31.9 rebounds, 18.8 assists, 4.5 blocks, and 7.3 steals per game. Those numbers show a team that has been capable of moving the basketball and creating defensive plays, but one that has struggled to consistently outscore opponents.

One of Seattle's biggest challenges has been its scoring margin. The Storm average 80.0 points while giving up 86.0, making it difficult to overcome deficits. Although they have recorded respectable assist and block numbers, the gap between their offensive and defensive averages has contributed to their season record.

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Los Angeles Returns Home Looking to Rebound

The Sparks come into Monday with an 8-10 overall record and a 3-6 mark at home. Los Angeles has lost four of its last five games, recently falling to Indiana and Toronto after earning a narrow victory over New York. Prior to that win, the Sparks also dropped contests against Minnesota and Golden State.

Los Angeles has averaged 88.8 points per game while allowing 94.3 points per contest. The Sparks are shooting 46% from the field and averaging 30.6 rebounds, 20.3 assists, 3.2 blocks, and 7.3 steals per game. They hold advantages over Seattle in scoring, field goal percentage, and assists, while producing the same average in steals.

The Sparks have relied on their offense throughout the season. Their 88.8 points per game is nearly nine points higher than Seattle's average, and they have been more efficient from the field. At the same time, allowing 94.3 points per game has made it difficult for Los Angeles to consistently close out games, placing additional pressure on its offense.

Seattle Storm vs Los Angeles Sparks Picks and Prediction

Seattle Storm vs Los Angeles Sparks Pick

  • Pick: Los Angeles Sparks -3.5

Los Angeles has the stronger offensive numbers entering this game, averaging 88.8 points per contest while shooting 46% from the field. Although both teams have struggled recently, the Sparks have the better overall record and hold statistical advantages in scoring and shooting efficiency. With Seattle owning a 1-9 road record, I like Los Angeles to cover the spread at home.

Seattle Storm vs Los Angeles Sparks Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 174.5

I'm taking the over 174.5 in this matchup. Los Angeles averages 88.8 points per game but also allows 94.3, while Seattle allows 86.0 points per contest. Both defenses have given up plenty of scoring this season, and I think that creates a favorable opportunity for this game to finish above the posted total.

Final Score Prediction: Los Angeles Sparks 92 – Seattle Storm 84

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