Seattle Storm vs New York Liberty Picks and Prediction for Monday August 3 2026
The Seattle Storm visit the New York Liberty at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York, on Monday, August 3, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET, with coverage available through WNBA League Pass. Seattle enters the game at 6-25 overall and 2-13 on the road, while New York is 17-13 overall and 7-5 at home. The available betting market lists New York as a 9.5-point favorite, with the Liberty around -388 on the moneyline and Seattle near +325. Totals have ranged from 180.5 to 183.5. Before making your wagers, visit our free WNBA picks for additional analysis.
Seattle Remains Competitive Despite Its Losing Streak
Seattle has lost five consecutive games, but the Storm have remained competitive in several of those contests. They fell to Indiana 110-107, Minnesota 105-102 and Minnesota again 86-76 before losing 105-95 to Indiana and 98-89 to Atlanta. Three of those defeats were decided by single digits, and none came by more than 10 points. That recent scoring pattern is important when evaluating Seattle as a sizeable underdog.
For the season, the Storm are averaging 82.5 points while allowing 88.0 points per game, producing an average scoring margin of minus-5.4. Seattle is shooting 43.4% from the field and 32.7% from three-point range while collecting approximately 33.6 rebounds and delivering 19.1 assists per contest. The Storm also average 15.2 turnovers, 7.7 steals and 4.3 blocked shots. These are full-season figures rather than short-term statistical splits.
Seattle’s main concern is its inability to turn competitive performances into victories. The Storm have scored at least 89 points in four of their previous five games, demonstrating that they can create enough offense to challenge an opponent. However, they have also surrendered at least 98 points in four of those contests. Seattle must reduce its turnovers and produce a more complete defensive performance if it wants to threaten an outright upset in Brooklyn.
New York Returns Home With Its Offense Rolling
New York has won four of its previous five games and returns home after a productive road trip. The Liberty defeated Dallas 99-98, Chicago 95-94 and Los Angeles 113-109 before losing 104-99 against Las Vegas. They responded to that defeat by earning a 94-92 victory over Phoenix. Every one of New York’s past five games produced at least 189 combined points, showing how frequently its recent contests have developed into high-scoring battles.
The Liberty are averaging 89.9 points per game while surrendering 87.7, giving them a positive scoring margin of 2.2 points. New York is shooting 46.3% from the field and 35.3% from beyond the arc while averaging 34.6 rebounds and 20.6 assists. The Liberty’s superior shooting efficiency is one of the clearest statistical advantages in this matchup. They also average more points and rebounds than Seattle while committing fewer turnovers per contest.
New York should be able to find scoring opportunities against a Seattle defense that has struggled to prevent opponents from reaching the high 90s. The question is whether the Liberty can create enough separation to cover a relatively large number. Seattle defeated New York 99-88 in the first meeting of the season, and the Liberty’s recent defensive performances have left the door open for opponents to remain competitive. New York deserves to be favored, but its defensive form makes the spread less straightforward than the moneyline.
Seattle Storm vs New York Liberty Pick and Prediction
ATS Pick:
- Seattle Storm +9.5
I am taking Seattle plus the 9.5 points. New York is the stronger team and should have the offensive efficiency needed to win at home, but the Liberty have not been separating from opponents consistently. Their four recent victories were decided by one, one, four and two points. Seattle has also stayed within 10 points in each of its past five games despite losing all five.
The Storm’s 6-25 record makes them difficult to support on the moneyline, but the spread provides valuable protection. Seattle has already defeated New York once this season, while the Liberty’s recent defensive difficulties could allow the Storm to remain within striking distance. I expect New York to win, but Seattle has a reasonable chance to cover +9.5.
Total Pick:
- Over 180.5
I will take the over if the total is available at 180.5. New York’s previous five games have finished with 197, 189, 222, 203 and 186 combined points. Seattle has participated in four games reaching at least 184 combined points during its current five-game losing streak. Those scores fit the full-season profiles of two teams allowing at least 87.7 points per contest.
Both offenses have recently demonstrated the ability to approach or surpass 90 points, while neither defense has consistently controlled games. I would still consider the over at 181.5, but the play becomes less attractive if the market rises beyond 183.5. My projected result is New York 94, Seattle 89.