Seattle Storm vs New York Liberty Picks and Prediction for Wednesday August 5 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 08/05/2026, 12:45 AM ET

The Seattle Storm visit the New York Liberty at Barclays Center in Brooklyn, New York, on Wednesday evening. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET, with WNBA League Pass providing coverage. Seattle enters with a 6-26 record, while New York stands at 18-13. The Liberty are approximately -385 on the moneyline with Seattle at +325, while New York is favored by 9.5 points and the total is set at 181.5. Before placing your wagers, check out our free WNBA picks for additional women’s basketball predictions throughout the season.

Seattle Searches for Answers During Its Difficult Stretch

Seattle has lost eight consecutive games and all five of its most recent contests. The Storm’s latest defeat came against New York on Monday, when they fell 95-83 in the first of two consecutive meetings at Barclays Center. Seattle remained within six points at halftime but was unable to overcome a damaging third quarter. That loss dropped the Storm to 6-26 overall and 2-15 away from home.

The Storm are averaging 82.6 points per game while allowing 88.2. Seattle is shooting 43.2% from the field, 32.3% from three-point range, and 79.2% at the free-throw line. The offense has been competitive in several recent games, but the defensive numbers have made it difficult to turn that production into victories. Seattle has now allowed at least 95 points in three consecutive contests, placing considerable pressure on its offense.

Seattle’s key factor will be avoiding another prolonged scoring drought. The Storm were competitive for much of Monday’s first half before New York used a 15-0 run to establish control. Seattle cannot afford to go several minutes without scoring against a Liberty offense averaging 90 points per game. The visitors must also produce a stronger defensive performance along the perimeter after New York converted efficiently from outside during the first meeting.

New York Builds Momentum at Barclays Center

New York has won five of its previous six games and enters this rematch following consecutive victories. The Liberty defeated Phoenix 94-92 on Saturday before returning home and earning Monday’s 95-83 victory over Seattle. New York never trailed in that contest and carried an eight-point advantage into the fourth quarter. The victory improved the Liberty to 18-13 overall and strengthened their position in the crowded playoff race.

The Liberty are averaging 90 points, 34.6 rebounds, and 20.6 assists per game. New York is shooting 46.4% from the field, 35.6% from three-point range, and a league-leading 85.3% from the free-throw line. The Liberty are allowing 87.6 points per game, giving them a modest positive scoring margin. Their combination of efficient shooting and strong rebounding creates a significant statistical advantage over Seattle.

New York’s most important task will be maintaining the same level of focus it displayed Monday. Playing the same struggling opponent twice within three days can create a difficult motivational spot, especially after winning the first meeting by double figures. However, the Liberty are still competing for playoff positioning and cannot afford to overlook a favorable home matchup. If New York controls the boards and continues shooting efficiently, Seattle will have difficulty remaining close for four quarters.

Seattle Storm vs New York Liberty Pick and Prediction

  • ATS Pick: New York Liberty -9.5

I am taking New York minus the points. The Liberty defeated Seattle by 12 on Monday despite the Storm remaining reasonably competitive during the first half. New York has won five of its last six games, while Seattle has lost eight straight and owns only two road victories this season. The Liberty hold clear advantages in shooting percentage, rebounding, and offensive efficiency. Laying 9.5 points creates some risk in the second meeting between these teams, but I expect New York’s superior depth and execution to produce another double-digit victory.

  • Total Pick: Under 181.5

I also favor Under 181.5. Monday’s matchup produced 178 combined points, and Seattle would need another productive offensive performance to help this rematch clear an even higher number. The Storm average 82.6 points per game, while New York averages 90, giving the teams a combined season average of 172.6. Seattle’s defensive struggles make the under less comfortable, but the posted total provides room for New York to score into the 90s without requiring a wager on the over. I expect the Liberty to control the game and win by a score near 94-82.

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