Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Picks and Prediction for Saturday June 20 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/20/2026, 12:20 AM ET
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The Seattle Storm travel to face the Phoenix Mercury on Saturday, June 20, 2026, at Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona. Tipoff is scheduled for 3:00 PM ET, and the game will be broadcast nationally on ABC. Phoenix enters the matchup as a 7.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -298, while Seattle is listed at +240. The total for the contest is set at 162.5 points. Both teams enter the game looking to halt recent losing streaks and gain momentum in the Western Conference race. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.

Seattle Searching for a Road Breakthrough

Seattle enters this contest with a 3-13 overall record and a difficult 1-7 record away from home. The Storm have dropped five consecutive games, recently losing to Portland, Golden State, Los Angeles, Las Vegas, and Minnesota. Seattle has struggled throughout conference play as well, posting an 0-8 mark against Western Conference opponents.

The Storm are averaging 77.2 points per game while allowing 83.8 points per contest. Seattle is shooting 41 percent from the field and averaging 31.6 rebounds and 18.0 assists per game. Defensively, the Storm have generated 7.3 steals and 4.7 blocks per contest.

Seattle's biggest issue has been consistency on the offensive end. The Storm are scoring fewer points per game than Phoenix while also carrying a negative scoring differential. Although Seattle has been competitive in several recent losses, the inability to finish games has contributed to the current five-game skid.

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Phoenix Hoping to Capitalize at Home

Phoenix comes into Saturday's matchup with a 4-12 overall record and a 1-6 mark at home. The Mercury have also struggled recently, losing four straight contests. During that stretch, Phoenix recently lost to Las Vegas, Los Angeles, Dallas, and Golden State. The club's lone victory in its last five games came on the road against Portland.

The Mercury are averaging 81.8 points per game while surrendering 86.8 points per contest. Phoenix is shooting 42 percent from the floor and averaging 31.9 rebounds and 18.9 assists. The Mercury have also averaged 7.8 steals and 3.5 blocks per game.

One area where Phoenix has held an advantage is offensive production. The Mercury score nearly five points more per game than Seattle and also hold slight advantages in field goal percentage, rebounds, assists, and steals. Those small statistical edges could become important in what projects to be a competitive matchup.

Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Picks and Prediction

Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Pick

  • Pick: Phoenix Mercury -7.5

Phoenix enters this game with a significant advantage according to ESPN's matchup predictor, which gives the Mercury a 76.6 percent chance to win. Although both teams have struggled recently, Phoenix has been slightly more productive offensively and owns advantages in several key statistical categories. Playing at home should also help the Mercury snap their losing streak.

Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 162.5

I'm leaning toward the over because both teams have allowed plenty of points this season. Seattle is surrendering 83.8 points per game, while Phoenix is allowing 86.8. Recent games for both clubs have frequently produced scores in the 170-point range or higher, making the over an attractive option.

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Final Score Prediction: Phoenix Mercury 87 – Seattle Storm 79

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