Seattle Storm vs Portland Fire Picks and Prediction for Wednesday June 17 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/17/2026, 12:25 AM ET
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The Seattle Storm and Portland Fire meet on Wednesday, June 17, 2026, at Moda Center in Portland, Oregon. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 PM ET, and the game will be available on WNBA League Pass and Fox 12 Plus. This WNBA Commissioner's Cup matchup features a Seattle team looking to end a lengthy losing streak against a Portland squad hoping to build momentum at home. Portland enters as a 2.5-point favorite, while the total is set at 163.5 points. The moneyline is +114 for Seattle and -135 for Portland. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks for more analysis and predictions.

Seattle Trying to End a Difficult Stretch

The Storm enter this matchup with a 3-12 overall record and a 1-6 mark away from home. Seattle has lost each of its last five games, recently losing to Golden State, Los Angeles, Las Vegas, Minnesota, and Phoenix. Their most recent defeat came against Golden State by a 76-72 score, which was one of their more competitive performances during the current skid.

Seattle has averaged 76.4 points per game this season while shooting 41% from the field. The Storm have also recorded 31.6 rebounds and 17.7 assists per contest. Defensively, they have allowed 83.1 points per game while contributing 4.8 blocks and 7.5 steals.

One positive for Seattle has been its defensive effort compared to its offensive production. The Storm allow 83.1 points per game, which is better than Portland's defensive average. However, scoring has been a challenge throughout the season, as Seattle enters the contest averaging fewer than 77 points per game.

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Portland Looks to Capitalize at Home

The Fire bring a 7-9 overall record into this matchup and have posted a 5-5 record at Moda Center. Portland has gone 1-4 over its last five games, recently defeating Dallas while losing to Minnesota, Las Vegas, Los Angeles, and Phoenix. The Fire are coming off a 107-74 loss to Minnesota in their most recent contest.

Portland averages 81.5 points per game while shooting 45% from the field. The Fire also contribute 28.2 rebounds and 19.8 assists per contest. Defensively, Portland has allowed 88.0 points per game while recording 3.9 blocks and 6.9 steals.

The biggest advantage for Portland is its offensive efficiency. The Fire score more points per game than Seattle, shoot at a higher percentage from the field, and average more assists. Those numbers help explain why Portland is favored despite recent struggles.

Seattle Storm vs Portland Fire Picks and Prediction

Seattle Storm vs Portland Fire Pick

  • Pick: Portland Fire -2.5

Portland has the stronger overall record, the better matchup predictor percentage at 54.2%, and advantages in scoring, shooting percentage, and assists. Seattle enters on a five-game losing streak and has struggled offensively throughout the season. Based on the numbers provided, Portland appears to have the edge in this Commissioner's Cup matchup.

Seattle Storm vs Portland Fire Total Pick

  • Pick: Under 163.5

I like the under in this game. Seattle averages just 76.4 points per contest, and the Storm have been held below 75 points in three of their last five games. While Portland scores more consistently, both teams enter this matchup following losses, and Seattle's season-long offensive numbers suggest a lower-scoring game is the better option.

Final Score Prediction: Portland Fire 82 – Seattle Storm 77

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