Toronto Tempo vs Atlanta Dream Picks and Prediction for Monday August 10 2026

The Toronto Tempo visit the Atlanta Dream at Gateway Center Arena in College Park, Georgia, on Monday, August 10, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET, with Peacock, NBCSN, Atlanta News First, TSN, and Victory+ ATL providing coverage. Atlanta is an 11.5-point favorite, while the total is set at 183.5. Basketball bettors can find additional analysis throughout the season by visiting our free WNBA picks.

Atlanta has dominated the season series, winning all three previous meetings. The Dream won 102-77 in Toronto, 94-87 at home, and 111-92 in the most recent matchup. Toronto must reverse an eight-game losing streak, while Atlanta is trying to rebound from a 79-74 road loss against Washington.

Toronto’s Defensive Problems Continue to Mount

Toronto enters Monday at 10-21 overall with a 4-10 record away from home. The Tempo have lost eight consecutive games, including all five of their most recently supplied contests. Toronto’s last five defeats came against Minnesota twice, Golden State twice, and Portland. The Tempo allowed at least 92 points in every game during that stretch.

The Tempo average 87.4 points while allowing 93.7 points per game this season. Toronto shoots 45% from the field and produces 31.2 rebounds, 20.2 assists, 3.1 blocks, and 7.1 steals per contest. The Tempo’s offensive efficiency has given them opportunities, but their negative scoring differential reflects persistent trouble at the defensive end.

Toronto’s greatest concern is its inability to slow down opponents. The Tempo surrendered an average of 97.8 points across their five most recently supplied results. Toronto also allowed Atlanta to average 102.3 points over the first three meetings. The Tempo will be without Brittney Sykes and Ornella Bankole, further reducing the available backcourt depth for this difficult road assignment.

Atlanta Tries to Complete the Season Sweep

Atlanta enters the matchup at 19-12 overall and 11-5 at Gateway Center Arena. The Dream went 3-2 across their five most recently supplied games, earning victories against Dallas, Seattle, and Phoenix. Their two losses came against Las Vegas and Washington, with Atlanta held to 74 points in its most recent game.

The Dream average 89.0 points while allowing 85.7 points per game. Atlanta shoots 43% from the field and averages 34.9 rebounds, 20.6 assists, 3.2 blocks, and 9.1 steals. The Dream hold season-long advantages over Toronto in scoring defense, rebounding, assists, blocks, and steals.

Atlanta’s largest advantage comes from its ability to create turnovers and control the glass. The Dream average two more steals and 3.7 more rebounds than the Tempo. Atlanta has also held opponents to eight fewer points per game than Toronto. Indya Nivar and Te-Hina Paopao are listed as out, but the Dream have overcome those absences while winning 11 of their first 16 home games.

Toronto Tempo vs Atlanta Dream Picks and Prediction

• Pick: Atlanta Dream -11.5

Atlanta is the preferred side despite laying a substantial number. The Dream have won all three meetings this season, including two victories by at least 19 points. Toronto has also lost its last five games by margins of seven, 11, 13, 16, and 32 points, covering an 11.5-point spread in only two of those defeats.

The Dream’s defensive advantage should ultimately create separation. Atlanta allows eight fewer points per game, holds a sizable rebounding advantage, and forces more turnovers. Toronto can score efficiently enough to remain competitive early, but its inability to prevent opponents from approaching or surpassing 100 points makes it difficult to support the underdog.

• Pick: Under 183.5

The under is the second selection. Two of the first three meetings finished below 183.5, producing totals of 179 and 181 points. Four of Toronto’s five most recently supplied games also stayed under Monday’s number, while three of Atlanta’s last five finished below 183.5.

Toronto’s defensive struggles create obvious over potential, but the total already accounts for that weakness. Atlanta allows only 85.7 points per game and recently held Washington to 79. If the Dream establish a comfortable second-half advantage, a slower fourth quarter could keep the combined score below the number.

Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Dream 98, Toronto Tempo 82