Toronto Tempo vs Atlanta Dream Picks and Prediction for Monday June 22 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 06/22/2026, 12:05 AM ET
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The Toronto Tempo and Atlanta Dream meet at State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia on Monday, June 22, 2026, with tipoff scheduled for 7:30 PM ET. The game will be broadcast on WNBA League Pass and Atlanta News First. Atlanta enters the matchup as a 13.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -1050, while Toronto is listed at +675. The total is set at 176.5 points. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks for additional analysis and predictions.

Previous Game Recap & Box Score

Toronto heads into this contest coming off a 101-97 road victory over Connecticut. The Tempo were able to outscore the Sun in a high-scoring contest and snap a difficult stretch that had seen them lose three of their previous four games. Atlanta enters Monday riding significant momentum after a dominant 113-96 home win over Indiana. The Dream offense was highly productive throughout that game and continued a strong run that has seen the team win four of its last five contests.

Toronto Tries to Pull Off a Road Upset

Toronto enters this matchup with an 8-8 overall record and a 4-5 record away from home. The Tempo have gone 2-3 over their last five games. They recently defeated Connecticut on the road, but before that they lost to Indiana, Atlanta, and Washington. Their other recent victory came in an overtime win against Connecticut at home.

The Tempo have been one of the league's higher-scoring teams, averaging 89.6 points per game. They shoot 44% from the field while averaging 30.6 rebounds and 19.4 assists per contest. Defensively, Toronto has allowed 91.6 points per game. The team also contributes 3.4 blocks and 8.4 steals per game.

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The biggest strength for Toronto is its ability to score. Averaging nearly 90 points per game gives the Tempo a chance in almost every contest. However, allowing 91.6 points per game has made it difficult to sustain winning streaks. That defensive number has been a significant factor in several recent losses, including a 113-point performance allowed against Indiana and a 102-point outing allowed against Atlanta.

Atlanta Looking to Continue Its Strong Form

Atlanta comes into Monday's game with an impressive 11-4 overall record and a 5-2 record at home. The Dream have won four of their last five games, including victories over Indiana twice, Toronto, and Chicago. Their only loss during that stretch came against New York.

The Dream have been outstanding on both ends of the floor this season. Atlanta averages 90.2 points per game while shooting 45% from the field. The team also averages 36.0 rebounds and 20.3 assists per game. Defensively, the Dream have allowed just 83.1 points per contest. They add 3.1 blocks and 9.5 steals per game.

One of Atlanta's biggest advantages is balance. The Dream not only lead this matchup in scoring average, but they also own the stronger defensive numbers. Their rebounding advantage is substantial, and they create more assists and steals than Toronto. Those numbers help explain why Atlanta owns one of the league's better records entering this matchup.

Toronto Tempo vs Atlanta Dream Picks and Prediction

Toronto Tempo vs Atlanta Dream Pick

  • Pick: Atlanta Dream -13.5

Atlanta has already defeated Toronto recently, earning a convincing 102-77 victory on June 14. The Dream enter this game with the better overall record, stronger home record, superior matchup predictor percentage, and advantages across several key statistical categories. Atlanta scores slightly more points, allows significantly fewer points, rebounds better, and creates more assists. With Toronto surrendering 91.6 points per game, Atlanta's high-powered offense should have opportunities to control the game.

Toronto Tempo vs Atlanta Dream Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 176.5

I am leaning toward the over in this matchup. Toronto games have regularly produced high scores because the Tempo average 89.6 points while allowing 91.6 points per game. Atlanta averages 90.2 points and recently scored 113 and 108 points in back-to-back games against Indiana. The previous meeting between these teams finished with 179 total points, which is slightly above this posted number. The offensive production on both sides makes the over attractive.

Final Score Prediction: Atlanta Dream 97 – Toronto Tempo 83

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