Toronto Tempo vs Chicago Sky Picks and Prediction for Tuesday September 22 2026

The Toronto Tempo visit the Chicago Sky at Wintrust Arena in Chicago, Illinois, on Tuesday, September 22, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:00 PM ET with coverage on WNBA League Pass, CW26 and TSN. Toronto enters at 11-31 overall and 4-16 on the road, while Chicago is 15-27 overall and 10-11 at home. Both teams are trying to end extended losing streaks, with Toronto dropping six consecutive games and Chicago losing five straight. Interestingly, Toronto has controlled the season series despite its struggles, winning both previous meetings, 111-104 and 85-68. At the time of this writing the odds were not released. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks for more WNBA predictions throughout the season.

Toronto Searches for an Answer on the Road

Toronto enters this matchup in one of its most difficult stretches of the season. The Tempo have lost six consecutive games overall and have been particularly poor away from home, where they are just 4-16. Their five most recent games have all ended in defeat, with Toronto losing 106-69, 103-85, 101-69, 93-73 and 90-78. That is a troubling combination of declining offensive production and defensive problems, especially considering four of those five defeats came by at least 18 points.

The Tempo average 85.8 points per game while allowing 94.3, producing an average scoring differential of minus-8.5 points. Toronto shoots 44% from the field while averaging 31.7 rebounds and 19.6 assists. Defensively, the Tempo produce 6.8 steals and only 3.0 blocks per game. The biggest issue remains the 94.3 points allowed, especially when Toronto's offense has failed to reach 90 points in each of its last five games.

There is one significant reason Toronto cannot simply be dismissed in this matchup: the Tempo have already beaten Chicago twice. Toronto scored 111 points in a seven-point victory at Wintrust Arena in May before holding Chicago to only 68 points in a 17-point home win in June. However, the current version of Toronto enters with substantial availability concerns and terrible recent form. The Tempo have also lost 11 consecutive road games, making their earlier success against Chicago harder to trust heading into Tuesday night.

Chicago Has an Opportunity to Stop Its Slide

Chicago hasn't exactly been playing winning basketball either. The Sky enter at 15-27 and have dropped five consecutive games, including a 106-81 road loss in their latest outing. Chicago's recent defensive results have been particularly alarming. The Sky have surrendered 106, 110, 85, 87 and 113 points across their last five games. They are 10-11 at Wintrust Arena, however, and now face a Toronto team that has struggled badly away from home.

The statistical comparison slightly favors Chicago in several important categories. The Sky average 86.4 points compared with Toronto's 85.8 while allowing 90.5 compared with Toronto's 94.3. Both teams shoot 44% from the field, but Chicago averages 33.1 rebounds compared with Toronto's 31.7 and holds a 21.3-to-19.6 advantage in assists. The Sky also average 4.7 blocks compared with Toronto's 3.0 and own a small 7.0-to-6.8 advantage in steals.

The problem for Chicago is that its statistical edge hasn't mattered in this particular matchup. Toronto has won the first two meetings by a combined 24 points, including a victory in Chicago. Still, the circumstances entering the third meeting are substantially different. Toronto's current six-game losing streak has included five consecutive double-digit defeats, while the Tempo's poor road record gives Chicago an opportunity to finally reverse the season-series trend. With both clubs dealing with significant availability concerns, the home-court advantage becomes more meaningful in what is otherwise a matchup between two struggling teams.

Toronto Tempo vs Chicago Sky Picks and Prediction

Pick: Chicago Sky -3.5 or Better

Chicago is the preferred side if the spread opens at -3.5 or shorter. Neither team inspires much confidence based on recent form, so laying a substantial number with the Sky would be difficult to justify. However, Chicago has the better overall record, a 10-11 home mark and statistical advantages in scoring defense, rebounding, assists and blocks. Toronto has lost six straight overall and 11 consecutive road games, with each of its last five losses coming by double digits. Toronto's 2-0 season-series advantage deserves respect, but current form points toward Chicago finally breaking through. At -3.5 or better, the Sky are the side.

Pick: Over 174.5 or Lower

The total is more dependent on the eventual number, but 174.5 provides a reasonable cutoff for an over play. Toronto allows 94.3 points per game and Chicago gives up 90.5, while neither defense has been dependable recently. Toronto's last five games have produced combined totals of 175, 188, 170, 166 and 168 points, while Chicago's last five have finished at 187, 190, 151, 168 and 203. Their first meeting exploded for 215 combined points, although the second finished at only 153. With both defenses struggling and Chicago allowing at least 106 points in three of its last five games, the over becomes playable if the market stays at 174.5 or below.

Final Picks: Chicago Sky -3.5 or Better and Over 174.5 or Lower