Toronto Tempo vs Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction for Tuesday August 4 2026

The Toronto Tempo will face the Golden State Valkyries at Chase Center in San Francisco, California, on Tuesday, August 4, 2026. The game is scheduled to begin at 10:00 p.m. ET, with television coverage available through KPIX and KOVR. Golden State is a 13.5-point favorite with a moneyline of -1000, while Toronto is priced at +650. The total is set at 168.5 points. Readers looking for more analysis across Tuesday’s schedule can also check out our free WNBA picks.

Toronto Searches for a Better Result in the Rematch

Toronto enters Tuesday with a 10-19 overall record after losing 96-79 to Golden State on Sunday. The Tempo trailed by only one point at halftime and briefly moved ahead during the third quarter, but they were unable to remain competitive over the closing stages. Toronto has lost five consecutive games, including defeats against Atlanta, Las Vegas, Minnesota twice , and Golden State. The Tempo have also dropped three straight road games.

The Tempo are averaging 87.8 points per game while allowing 93.7, producing a negative scoring margin of nearly six points per contest. Toronto ranks eighth in the league in scoring but sits last in opponent scoring. Over its last ten games, the team has averaged 82.0 points, 29.6 rebounds, and 19.5 assists. The Tempo have won only once during that stretch, demonstrating how their defensive difficulties have outweighed a respectable level of offensive production.

Toronto’s clearest concern is preventing another second-half collapse. The Tempo demonstrated Sunday that they can remain competitive with Golden State for extended stretches, but they were outscored 52-36 after halftime. Toronto must also improve its work on the glass after ranking last in the league with a 47 percent rebounding rate. The visitors may not need to win the game to reward spread bettors, but they must defend more consistently and avoid allowing Golden State to create another decisive run.

Golden State Relies on Defense at Chase Center

Golden State enters the rematch with a 20-9 overall record and a 12-4 mark at Chase Center. The Valkyries went 3-2 across their last five games, recording victories over Indiana, Washington, and Toronto while losing to Washington and Phoenix. Sunday’s 17-point win stopped a two-game losing streak that followed a nine-game winning run. Golden State has now defeated Toronto in each of the first two meetings this season, winning 83-75 in July and 96-79 on Sunday.

The Valkyries are averaging 82.6 points while allowing only 77.0 per game. Their defensive performance ranks among the strongest in the WNBA and has produced a positive scoring margin of 5.7 points. Golden State is also averaging 32.0 rebounds and 18.8 assists while committing only 11.3 turnovers per game. Over its last ten contests, the team has gone 8-2 while averaging 81.7 points and allowing only 74.2.

Golden State’s ability to control games without depending entirely upon its offense makes it difficult to oppose at home. The Valkyries held Toronto to 79 points Sunday and only 75 in the first meeting. However, laying 13.5 points in an immediate rematch carries some risk. Toronto has now seen Golden State twice in less than a month and remained close through the first half Sunday. The Valkyries are clearly the superior team, but they must remain focused for four quarters to cover such a substantial number.

Toronto Tempo vs Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction

Pick:

• Toronto Tempo +13.5

I am taking Toronto plus the points because the spread requires Golden State to produce another dominant victory only two days after defeating the same opponent by 17. The Valkyries deserve to be strong favorites, but Toronto remained within one point at halftime Sunday and should have opportunities to make useful adjustments. Golden State won the first meeting by only eight points, giving Toronto two performances in which it stayed inside this number for a significant portion of the game. I expect the Valkyries to win, but Toronto +13.5 offers the better spread value in the immediate rematch.

Pick:

• Under 168.5

I am taking Under 168.5 because Golden State’s defense remains the most dependable unit involved in this matchup. The Valkyries are allowing only 77.0 points per game for the season and 74.2 across their last ten contests. Toronto has averaged only 82.0 points during its last ten and scored 79 or fewer in both previous meetings with Golden State. Sunday’s game reached 175 points, but that required the Valkyries to score 96. A more controlled Golden State performance should keep the rematch below the current number, with a result around 88-76 fitting the statistical profile.