Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction for Friday June 26 2026
Use Code SSWC The Washington Mystics visit the Connecticut Sun on Friday, June 26, 2026, at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut, with tipoff scheduled for 7:30 PM ET and coverage available on WNBA League Pass and ION. Washington enters at 8-8 overall and 6-4 away from home, while Connecticut comes in at 3-15 overall and 2-7 at home. The Mystics are listed as 4.5-point favorites at -105, with the Sun at +4.5 at -115, while the moneyline has Washington at -185 and Connecticut at +154. The total is set at 163.5 points, with the over priced at -115 and the under at -105. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picks.
Washington Looks to Keep Its Road Edge
Washington enters this matchup with an 8-8 overall record and a strong 6-4 mark away from home. The Mystics have recently lost to Minnesota by a 78-76 score, recently won over Minnesota 84-79, recently won over New York 86-83, recently won over Connecticut 88-81, and recently lost to New York 86-64. That gives Washington three wins in its last five games, including a recent road victory over this same Connecticut team.
The Mystics are averaging 81.9 points per game while allowing 85.1 points per game. They are shooting 45 percent from the field, averaging 35.1 rebounds, 18.8 assists, 3.2 blocks, and 6.0 steals per game. Those numbers show a team that has been efficient enough offensively to stay competitive, even while allowing more points per game than it scores.
The clearest strength for Washington in this matchup is its shooting percentage. The Mystics own a 45 percent field goal rate compared to Connecticut’s 43 percent, and that small edge matters in a game where Washington is already favored on the road. If the Mystics continue to finish possessions efficiently, they have a real chance to control the pace and put pressure on a Connecticut defense allowing 88.3 points per game.
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Connecticut Tries to Turn Home Court Into a Response
Connecticut enters with a 3-15 overall record and a 2-7 record at home. The Sun have recently won over Chicago 92-63, recently lost to Toronto 101-97, recently lost to Washington 88-81, recently lost to Indiana 85-75, and recently lost to Toronto 106-102 in overtime. That recent 92-point win over Chicago gives Connecticut something positive to build from, but the Sun have still dropped four of their last five games.
Connecticut is averaging 79.9 points per game while allowing 88.3 points per game. The Sun are shooting 43 percent from the field, averaging 34.1 rebounds, 18.8 assists, 4.4 blocks, and 8.1 steals per game. The assist numbers are even with Washington, while Connecticut has the advantage in blocks and steals.
The biggest concern for Connecticut is the defensive scoring number. The Sun are allowing 88.3 points per game, which is higher than Washington’s 85.1 points allowed. Connecticut does create more steals and blocks than Washington, but the Sun need those defensive plays to translate into a more complete performance if they are going to cover the spread or pull off the upset at home.
Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction
Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun Pick
- Pick: Washington Mystics -4.5
Washington is the pick against the spread because the Mystics have the better overall record, the stronger road mark, and the recent head-to-head win in the data provided. Washington is 8-8 overall and 6-4 away from home, while Connecticut is 3-15 overall and 2-7 at home. The Mystics also hold the edge in points per game and field goal percentage, and that gives them enough statistical support to back them as 4.5-point favorites.
Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun Total Pick
- Pick: Over 163.5
I lean over 163.5 because the provided scoring and defensive numbers point toward enough offense to clear this total. Washington averages 81.9 points per game and Connecticut averages 79.9, while both teams are allowing at least 85 points per game. Connecticut has also recently played several higher-scoring games, including a 101-97 loss and a 106-102 overtime loss. Based only on the numbers provided, I expect both teams to do enough offensively to push this above the total.
Final Score Prediction: Washington Mystics 86 – Connecticut Sun 80
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