Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction for Wednesday June 17 2026

By: Kim Smith Updated 06/17/2026, 12:41 PM ET
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The Washington Mystics and Connecticut Sun meet on Wednesday, June 17, 2026, at Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET, and the game will be available on WNBA League Pass. Washington enters the matchup at 5-7 overall and 3-4 on the road, while Connecticut comes in at 2-13 overall and 1-5 at home. The Mystics are listed as 4.5-point favorites with a total of 163.5 points, while the moneyline sits at -192 for Washington and +160 for Connecticut. Be sure to check out our free WNBA picksΒ for more analysis and predictions.

A Chance for Washington to Build Momentum

The Mystics have put together a 5-7 record through their first 12 games and have been competitive in several contests despite some recent inconsistency. Over their last five games, Washington has picked up victories over Toronto and Chicago while recently losing to New York, Indiana, and Atlanta. Their most recent outing resulted in an 86-64 loss to New York, but before that they narrowly defeated Toronto 86-85.

Washington has averaged 81.4 points per game this season while shooting 44% from the field. The Mystics have also contributed 35.4 rebounds and 18.8 assists per contest. Defensively, they have allowed 86.7 points per game while recording 3.6 blocks and 6.2 steals.

One area that stands out for Washington is its rebounding advantage. The Mystics average nearly two more rebounds per game than Connecticut, and they also own the better field goal percentage. Those numbers could prove important in a matchup between teams looking to establish control early.

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Connecticut Searching for Answers

The Sun enter this game with a 2-13 record and are trying to snap a five-game losing streak. Connecticut has recently lost to Indiana, Toronto, New York, Chicago, and Atlanta. Their most recent defeat was an 85-75 setback against Indiana, continuing a difficult stretch of games.

Connecticut is averaging 77.9 points per game while shooting 42% from the floor. The Sun also average 33.5 rebounds and 18.7 assists per contest. On the defensive side, they have surrendered 89.1 points per game while posting 4.2 blocks and 7.9 steals.

The Sun's biggest challenge has been limiting opponents on the scoreboard. Connecticut is allowing more than 89 points per game, which is the highest figure between these two teams. While the Sun have generated more steals than Washington, their defensive numbers overall have made it difficult to consistently compete for wins.

Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun Picks and Prediction

Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun Pick

  • Pick: Washington Mystics -4.5

Washington owns the better record, the better matchup predictor percentage, and advantages in scoring, rebounding, and shooting percentage. The Mystics have also shown the ability to win close games recently, while Connecticut enters on a five-game losing streak. With the Sun allowing 89.1 points per game, Washington appears to have the stronger overall profile heading into this matchup.

Washington Mystics vs Connecticut Sun Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 163.5

I like the over in this game. Connecticut has allowed 89.1 points per contest, while Washington gives up 86.7 points per game. Neither defense has been particularly stingy this season, and both teams have recently been involved in games that reached the mid-160s or higher. The defensive numbers suggest opportunities for scoring on both sides.

Final Score Prediction: Washington Mystics 85 – Connecticut Sun 78

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