Washington Mystics vs Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction for Saturday, July 18, 2026
Use Code SSWC The Washington Mystics visit the Golden State Valkyries at Chase Center in San Francisco, California, on Saturday, July 18, 2026, with tipoff scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. WNBA League Pass, MNMT, and KPIX+ will provide coverage. Golden State is an 8.5-point favorite at -110 and is priced at -395 on the moneyline, while Washington is +8.5 at -110 and +310 to win outright. The current total is 148.5 points, with the over priced at -115 and the under at -105. Washington enters at 12-11 overall and 7-5 on the road, while Golden State is 18-7 overall and 10-3 at home. The matchup predictor gives Washington a 27.2% chance to win and Golden State a 72.8% probability. Be sure to check out our free WNBA Picks.
Washington Seeks a Better Result in the Rematch
Washington enters Saturday’s game with a 12-11 overall record and a 7-5 mark away from home. The Mystics have won three of their last five games, although they recently lost 75-56 to Portland. Washington previously won 79-62 over Toronto and 84-79 over Seattle after losing 62-49 to Golden State. The Mystics began the supplied five-game stretch with an 81-76 victory over Atlanta.
The Mystics average 80.0 points per game while allowing 82.9 points, giving them a negative scoring difference of 2.9 points. Washington shoots 43% from the field and collects 37.2 rebounds per contest. The Mystics also average 18.9 assists, 3.6 blocks, and 5.6 steals. They hold statistical advantages over Golden State in field-goal percentage, rebounds, and assists.
Washington’s clearest strength is its work on the boards. The Mystics average 37.2 rebounds per game, which is 4.4 more than Golden State’s average of 32.8. Washington also owns a narrow advantage in field-goal percentage and produces 0.8 more assists per game. The central concern is scoring consistency, as the Mystics were held below 60 points in two of their last four games. One Washington player is listed as out for Saturday’s contest.
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Golden State Returns Home With Significant Momentum
Golden State carries an 18-7 overall record and a 10-3 home mark into this matchup. The Valkyries have won each of their last five games and enter Saturday on an eight-game winning streak. Golden State recently earned an 88-75 victory over Indiana after defeating Connecticut 79-64 and Toronto 83-75. The Valkyries also won 62-49 over Washington and 88-83 over Atlanta during the supplied five-game stretch.
The Valkyries are scoring 82.2 points per game while allowing only 76.1, creating a positive scoring difference of 6.1 points. Golden State shoots 42% from the field and averages 32.8 rebounds and 18.1 assists. Defensively, the Valkyries produce 4.3 blocks and 7.4 steals per game. They allow 6.8 fewer points per contest than Washington.
Golden State’s strongest quality is its defensive performance. The Valkyries allow 76.1 points per game and have held four of their last five opponents to 75 points or fewer. That stretch includes the 62-49 victory over Washington on July 6. Golden State also averages more blocks and steals than the Mystics, supporting its defensive advantage. One Valkyries player is listed as out for the season.
Washington Mystics vs Golden State Valkyries Picks and Prediction
Washington Mystics vs Golden State Valkyries Pick
- Pick: Golden State Valkyries -8.5
Golden State is my selection to cover the 8.5-point spread. The Valkyries have the stronger overall record at 18-7, a 10-3 home mark, and an active eight-game winning streak. They also defeated Washington 62-49 in the previous meeting provided, covering Saturday’s spread by winning that contest by 13 points. Golden State’s average scoring margin is nine points better than Washington’s, and the matchup predictor gives the Valkyries a 72.8% probability of winning. Washington’s rebounding advantage deserves consideration, but Golden State’s defense, recent form, and previous result against the Mystics make the favorite the preferred play.
Washington Mystics vs Golden State Valkyries Total Pick
- Pick: Under 148.5
I am taking the under 148.5 points. Golden State allows only 76.1 points per game and has held four of its last five opponents to 75 or fewer. Washington has scored just 56 and 49 points in two of its last four games, including the 49-point performance against Golden State. The previous meeting finished with only 111 combined points. Washington’s last five games produced combined totals of 131, 141, 163, 111, and 157 points, while three of Golden State’s last five finished below the current total. With the Valkyries’ defensive numbers and the low-scoring previous meeting, the under is the stronger total selection.
Final Score Prediction: Golden State Valkyries 78 – Washington Mystics 66
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