Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction for Tuesday August 11 2026

The Washington Mystics travel to Michelob ULTRA Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, to face the Las Vegas Aces on Tuesday, August 11, 2026. Tipoff is scheduled for 10:00 p.m. ET with coverage on WNBA League Pass and Vegas 34. Washington enters at 19-12 overall and 8-6 on the road, while Las Vegas is 22-11 overall and 9-5 at home. The Mystics won the first meeting of the season 100-99. Las Vegas is a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 167.5, while the Aces are -340 on the moneyline and Washington is +270. Check out our free WNBA picks for more predictions from Tuesday's WNBA schedule.

Mystics Bring a Five-Game Winning Streak

Washington enters Tuesday having won five straight games. The Mystics defeated Phoenix 95-75 on Sunday, Atlanta 79-74, Dallas twice and Connecticut 92-84. Washington has scored at least 81 points in four of those five victories and has held three opponents to 75 points or fewer.

The Mystics average 82.0 points per game while allowing 82.6. Washington shoots 44% from the field and averages 37.5 rebounds, 19.2 assists, 4.0 blocks and 5.5 steals per game. Their rebounding average is one of the clearest statistical advantages in this matchup.

Washington's recent form makes the Mystics dangerous as a sizable underdog. They are also coming off their best defensive performance of the five-game stretch and already defeated Las Vegas earlier this season.

Aces Face a Different Challenge Without Key Starters

Las Vegas enters at 22-11 overall and 9-5 at home, but the Aces have lost two straight and three of their last five. They were routed 111-71 by New York on Sunday after losing 98-87 at Minnesota. Their two victories during the stretch came against Indiana and Atlanta.

The Aces average 91.0 points per game while allowing 87.6. Las Vegas shoots 49% from the field and averages 33.8 rebounds, 22.2 assists, 5.0 blocks and 6.9 steals per game. On season-long numbers, the Aces own the stronger offensive profile.

The major factor is availability. A'ja Wilson, Chelsea Gray and Jackie Young are all listed out for rest, while Cheyenne Parker-Tyus is also out. That dramatically changes the matchup and makes Las Vegas much less attractive at a spread of more than two possessions.

Washington Mystics vs Las Vegas Aces Picks and Prediction

Pick: Washington Mystics +7.5

Washington is the preferred side with the Mystics riding a five-game winning streak and Las Vegas missing several of its most important players. The Aces still have home-court advantage, but asking them to cover 7.5 without Wilson, Gray and Young is aggressive. Washington also owns a 37.5 to 33.8 rebounding advantage and already defeated Las Vegas 100-99 this season. Take the Washington Mystics +7.5.

Total Pick: Under 167.5

The Under 167.5 is the preferred total because Las Vegas is without a large portion of its normal offensive production. The Aces average 91.0 points per game, but that season figure was built with Wilson, Gray and Young playing major roles. Washington has also held three of its last five opponents to 75 points or fewer. With the Mystics playing improved defense and Las Vegas potentially operating at a slower, less efficient offensive level, take the Under 167.5.