Washington Mystics vs Toronto Tempo Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, July 14, 2026

By: Kim Smith Published 07/14/2026, 12:05 AM ET
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The Washington Mystics will face the Toronto Tempo at Coca-Cola Coliseum in Toronto, Ontario, on Tuesday, July 14, 2026. The game is scheduled to begin at 7:00 p.m. ET and will be televised on NBA TV, with additional coverage available through WNBA League Pass, MNMT and regional programming. Washington is a 1.5-point favorite at -105 and is listed at -115 on the moneyline, while Toronto is +1.5 at -115 and -105 on the moneyline. The total is set at 170.5 points, with the over priced at -115 and the under available at -105. Be sure to check out our free WNBA Picks.

Washington Carries a Winning Record into Toronto

Washington enters Tuesday’s game with an 11-10 overall record and a 6-5 record away from home. The Mystics have won three of their last five games, including a recent 84-79 victory over Seattle. Washington also recently won 81-76 over Atlanta and defeated Portland 124-123 in four overtimes. Its two losses during that stretch were a 62-49 defeat against Golden State and a 68-57 road loss against Connecticut. The Mystics have alternated between strong offensive showings and lower-scoring results, but they have won three of their last four contests.

The Mystics are averaging 81.2 points per game while allowing 84.2 points per contest. Washington is shooting 44% from the field and averaging 36.3 rebounds, 19.3 assists, 3.5 blocks and 5.8 steals per game. The Mystics trail Toronto in scoring, field-goal percentage, assists and steals, but they hold a clear advantage on the glass. Washington averages five more rebounds per game than the Tempo and also owns a slight edge in blocks.

Rebounding stands out as Washington’s most important statistical strength entering this matchup. The Mystics average 36.3 rebounds per game compared with Toronto’s 31.3, creating a meaningful advantage in an area where the Tempo has struggled relative to its opponent. Washington has also allowed 7.8 fewer points per game than Toronto. The weakness is an offense that has scored fewer than 60 points in two of its last five games. However, the Mystics have also demonstrated a much higher ceiling by scoring 124 points in the four-overtime victory over Portland and producing at least 81 points in each of their other two recent wins.

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Toronto Searches for Consecutive Home Wins

Toronto comes into the matchup at 10-13 overall and 6-7 at Coca-Cola Coliseum. The Tempo ended a four-game losing streak with a recent 93-91 home victory over New York. Before that win, Toronto recently lost 108-95 against Dallas, 83-75 against Golden State, 89-76 against Dallas and 89-80 against Phoenix. All five of those games were played at home, giving the Tempo another opportunity to improve its home record on Tuesday evening.

The Tempo are averaging 89.7 points per game and allowing 92 points per contest. Toronto is shooting 45% from the field while averaging 31.3 rebounds, 20.3 assists, 3.2 blocks and 7.7 steals. The Tempo average 8.5 more points per game than Washington and hold a one-percentage-point advantage from the field. Toronto also averages one more assist and 1.9 more steals per game. However, the Tempo allow more points and collect fewer rebounds than the Mystics.

Toronto’s primary strength is its scoring production. The Tempo average nearly 90 points per game and have scored 93 and 95 points in their last two contests. That offensive output gives Toronto a chance to overcome some of its defensive issues, especially after its latest victory. The major weakness is a defense allowing 92 points per game. The Tempo have surrendered at least 89 points in four of their last five contests and have given up 108 and 91 points in their two most recent games. Toronto may need another productive offensive performance to remain competitive against a Washington team that has won three of its last four.

Washington Mystics vs Toronto Tempo Picks and Prediction

Washington Mystics vs Toronto Tempo Pick

  • Pick: Washington Mystics -1.5

Washington is my pick to cover the 1.5-point spread. The Mystics have the better overall record and have won three of their last four games, while Toronto has lost four of its last five. Washington also owns significant statistical advantages in rebounding and points allowed. The Mystics average five more rebounds per game and surrender 7.8 fewer points per contest. Toronto has the stronger scoring average, but its defense has allowed at least 89 points in four consecutive games. Although the ESPN matchup predictor gives Toronto a 59.3% chance of winning, Washington’s recent results and stronger defensive numbers support laying the small spread with the visitors.

Washington Mystics vs Toronto Tempo Total Pick

  • Pick: Over 170.5

I am taking Over 170.5 points in this game. Toronto averages 89.7 points while allowing 92 per contest, and its last two games finished with 184 and 203 combined points. Washington averages 81.2 points and gives up 84.2, placing the teams’ combined scoring average at 170.9 points. Toronto has also scored at least 80 points in three of its last five games, while Washington has reached at least 81 in three of its last four. With the Tempo’s offensive production and defensive average both sitting near or above 90 points, I expect the teams to finish slightly above the posted total.

Final Score Prediction: Washington Mystics 88 – Toronto Tempo 85

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