Argentina vs. Switzerland Picks and Prediction for Saturday, July 11, 2026
Use Code SSWC Argentina and Switzerland meet in the FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri, on Saturday at 9:00 PM ET on FOX. Argentina has won all five of its matches at the tournament, advancing with consecutive 3-2 victories over Cape Verde and Egypt. Switzerland reached the quarterfinals after defeating Algeria 2-0 before eliminating Colombia in the Round of 16, on penalties. The winner advances to the World Cup semifinals. Check out today's free World Cup picks.
Argentina Looking to Continue Its Title Defense
Argentina has continued to show why it entered the tournament as one of the favorites. Lionel Scaloni's side has won five straight matches, defeating Algeria, Austria, Jordan, Cape Verde, and Egypt while scoring 14 goals during that stretch. Lionel Messi leads the tournament with eight goals, while Lautaro Martínez has added another goal and Alexis Mac Allister has contributed an assist from midfield. Argentina is averaging 2.80 goals per match with 2.16 expected goals while controlling 65% possession, allowing the defending champions to dictate play throughout the tournament. Consecutive 3-2 knockout victories have shown Argentina can respond under pressure, even when opponents find opportunities late.
Defensively, Argentina has allowed 1.00 goals per match, although the back line has shown some vulnerability during the knockout stage after conceding twice against both Cape Verde and Egypt. Even so, the Albiceleste continue creating far more scoring opportunities than their opponents and remain one of the tournament's deepest squads heading into another high-pressure match.
Injuries: No injuries have been reported for Argentina.
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Switzerland Trying to Reach the Semifinals
Switzerland has quietly put together one of its strongest World Cup performances in recent history. The Swiss are unbeaten through five matches after a draw with Qatar, victories over Bosnia-Herzegovina, Canada, Algeria, and a Round of 16 triumph over Colombia. Murat Yakin's squad has relied on discipline, organization, and timely finishing rather than overwhelming attacking numbers. Johan Manzambi leads Switzerland with three goals, while Breel Embolo and Ruben Vargas have each scored twice. Switzerland is averaging 1.80 goals and 2.35 expected goals per match while maintaining 61% possession, showing it can create chances without sacrificing defensive structure.
Switzerland has been even more impressive defensively, conceding only 0.60 goals per match with two clean sheets and an outstanding 84% save percentage. Manuel Akanji continues to organize the back line, while Granit Xhaka provides leadership and control in midfield. The scoreless Round of 16 result against Colombia demonstrated Switzerland's ability to frustrate talented attacking teams before finding a way to advance.
Injuries: No injuries have been reported for Switzerland.
Argentina vs. Switzerland Match Pick
- Argentina in Regulation (-135)
Switzerland has defended exceptionally well throughout the tournament, but Argentina enters with the most dangerous attack remaining in the field. Messi continues to lead the Golden Boot race with eight goals, and the defending champions have consistently found solutions in difficult knockout matches. Switzerland should remain organized defensively, but Argentina's experience, attacking quality, and ability to control possession give the Albiceleste the edge to reach another World Cup semifinal. Argentina has also created more consistent scoring opportunities throughout the tournament, averaging 2.16 expected goals per match while winning all five contests. Switzerland has impressed defensively, but it has not faced an attack with the creativity and finishing ability of Messi, Lautaro Martínez, and Mac Allister. Expect Switzerland to stay competitive early before Argentina's quality in the final third proves decisive during the second half.
Argentina vs. Switzerland Over/Under Pick
- Over 2.5 Goals (-145)
Argentina's last two knockout matches have both finished 3-2, showing the defending champions remain dangerous going forward while becoming more vulnerable defensively. Switzerland has enough attacking quality with Manzambi, Embolo, and Vargas to create chances if Argentina leaves space in transition. While the Swiss defense should keep the match competitive, Argentina's attacking depth makes another match with at least three total goals the stronger play. Switzerland is also averaging 1.80 goals per match and has generated 2.35 expected goals per contest, showing it can produce quality scoring chances against organized defenses. Argentina has conceded four goals across its last two matches after allowing only one during the group stage, suggesting opponents are finding more opportunities as the tournament progresses. With both teams possessing enough attacking talent to contribute, this quarterfinal will cash over.
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