France vs. Morocco Picks and Prediction for Thursday, July 9, 2026
Use Code SSWC France and Morocco meet in the FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts, on Thursday at 4:00 PM ET on FOX. France has won all five of its tournament matches, including a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Paraguay in the Round of 16, while Morocco advanced with a convincing 3-0 win over Canada after eliminating the Netherlands on penalties in the previous knockout round. A place in the World Cup semifinals is on the line as two of the tournament's most consistent teams meet in one of the marquee quarterfinal matchups. Check out today's free World Cup picks.
France Chasing Another World Cup Title
France has looked every bit like a championship contender throughout the tournament, averaging 2.80 goals and 2.02 expected goals per match. Kylian Mbappé is tied with Lionel Messi for the tournament lead with seven goals, while adding two assists, Ousmane Dembélé has contributed four goals and two assists, and Michael Olise leads the tournament with five assists. France opened the competition with victories over Senegal, Iraq, and Norway before defeating Sweden 3-0 and Paraguay 1-0 in the knockout stage.
France showed another side of its game against Paraguay, remaining patient before Mbappé converted the decisive penalty in the second half. Defensively, Les Bleus have been outstanding, allowing only 0.40 goals per match with three clean sheets. France has also limited opponents to just 0.77 expected goals against per game while controlling 61% possession, giving Morocco very few opportunities to create sustained pressure.
Injuries: No injuries have been reported for France.
Sign Up Get $30 Premium Picks Credit + Exclusive Offers
Subscribe Now
Morocco Looking to Reach Semifinals for Second Straight Time
Morocco has continued its impressive World Cup run after eliminating Canada 3-0 in the Round of 16. The Atlas Lions are averaging 2.00 goals and 2.45 expected goals per match, with Ismael Saibari leading the squad with three goals. Azzedine Ounahi has added two goals, Soufiane Rahimi has scored twice, while Brahim Díaz has been the team's primary creator with four assists. Morocco opened the tournament with a draw against Brazil before defeating Scotland and Haiti to reach the knockout stage.
Morocco has also been excellent without the ball, allowing only 0.80 goals per match while posting two clean sheets. The Atlas Lions have conceded just four goals in five matches and own a 0.69 expected goals against average, which is even lower than France's mark. Achraf Hakimi continues to influence matches from the back while Brahim Díaz and Ounahi have given Morocco multiple attacking options capable of creating chances against elite opponents.
Injuries: Ismael Saibari exited the Round of 16 match against Canada with an injury and his availability remains uncertain.
Recent Head-to-Head
France defeated Morocco 2-0 in the 2022 FIFA World Cup semifinals, while the teams also played to a 2-2 draw in an international friendly in 2007. Morocco will be looking to avenge that World Cup defeat as the nations meet again in the knockout stage.
France vs. Morocco Match Pick
- France -0.5 (-180)
France has consistently found ways to win regardless of the style of match. Les Bleus can score in bunches when space opens up, but they also showed against Paraguay that they can remain patient and grind out a result. Mbappé continues to lead one of the tournament's deepest attacks, while France has conceded only two goals through five matches. Morocco has been outstanding throughout the competition, but France's combination of attacking depth and defensive consistency gives Les Bleus the edge to advance to the semifinals.
France vs. Morocco Over/Under Pick
- Under 2.5 Goals (-120)
Both teams have defended at an extremely high level throughout the World Cup. France is allowing just 0.40 goals per match, while Morocco has conceded only 0.80 goals per game and owns one of the tournament's best expected goals against averages. The stakes are significantly higher in the quarterfinals, and neither side is likely to take unnecessary risks early. With two disciplined teams capable of limiting quality scoring opportunities, the under is the stronger play.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
