France vs. Spain Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, July 14, 2026
Use Code SSWC France and Spain meet in the FIFA World Cup Semifinals at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, on Tuesday at 3:00 PM ET on FOX. France advanced with a 2-0 victory over Morocco in the quarterfinals, while Spain earned a hard-fought 2-1 win over Belgium to reach the final four. France has won all six of its matches during this tournament, while Spain remains unbeaten and has conceded just one goal through five matches. A place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is on the line as two European powers meet for the first time at the World Cup since France eliminated Spain in the 2006 Round of 16. Check out today's free World Cup picks.
France Looking to Continue Its Perfect Tournament Run
France has looked every bit like a title contender throughout the tournament. Didier Deschamps' squad has won six consecutive matches, defeating Senegal, Iraq, Norway, Sweden, Paraguay, and Morocco while outscoring opponents 16-2. Les Bleus have consistently controlled matches with a balanced attack and disciplined defending, allowing just 0.33 goals per match while averaging 2.67 goals offensively. Their quarterfinal victory over Morocco was another composed performance, as France controlled possession, created quality chances, and secured a comfortable 2-0 result.
Kylian Mbappé continues to headline France's attack with eight tournament goals, tying Lionel Messi for the Golden Boot lead while moving into a share of the all-time World Cup scoring record with 20 career goals. Ousmane Dembélé has added five goals, Bradley Barcola has contributed two, and Michael Olise leads the tournament with five assists. France averages 2.16 expected goals while allowing only 0.71 expected goals against per match, showing the balance that has made Les Bleus one of the tournament's most complete teams.
Injuries: No injuries have been reported for France.
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Spain Looking to Reach Its First World Cup Final Since 2010
Spain has quietly put together one of the tournament's most impressive runs. After opening with a scoreless draw against Cape Verde, La Roja defeated Saudi Arabia, Uruguay, Austria, Portugal, and Belgium to reach the semifinals. Spain carried five consecutive clean sheets into the quarterfinals before finally conceding against Belgium, but Luis de la Fuente's side still found enough attacking quality to secure a 2-1 victory. Spain continues to dominate possession, dictate tempo, and limit opponents to very few quality scoring opportunities.
Mikel Oyarzabal leads Spain with four goals, while Lamine Yamal, Mikel Merino, and the rest of the attack have delivered timely contributions throughout the tournament. Defensively, Spain has been outstanding, allowing only 0.32 expected goals against per match while holding opponents to almost no sustained pressure. Goalkeeper Unai Simón set a World Cup record for consecutive scoreless minutes before Belgium finally broke through in the quarterfinals..
Injuries: No injuries have been reported for Spain.
France vs. Spain Match Pick
- France Moneyline (+130)
France has faced a tougher path through the knockout stage and continues to answer every challenge. Mbappé remains the tournament's biggest difference-maker, while Dembélé and Olise provide enough creativity to trouble even Spain's outstanding defense. Spain has been exceptional without the ball, but Belgium exposed a few openings in the quarterfinals that France is better equipped to exploit. Les Bleus also own more proven finishing in the final third, and their experience in major tournament semifinals could prove decisive. Expect another closely contested match, but France has slightly more attacking quality and should do enough to reach another World Cup Final.
France vs. Spain Over/Under Pick
- Under 2.5 Goals (-110)
This semifinal features two of the tournament's strongest defensive sides, making another low-scoring match the most likely outcome. France has allowed only two goals in six matches, while Spain conceded for the first time only in the quarterfinals after opening the tournament with five straight clean sheets. Both teams are comfortable controlling possession, limiting space, and forcing opponents into difficult chances rather than turning matches into open contests. With a place in the World Cup Final at stake, neither side is expected to take unnecessary risks early. One clinical finish or a late breakthrough could decide this semifinal, making the under, the play.
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