France vs. Sweden Picks and Prediction for Tuesday, June 30, 2026
Use Code SSWC France and Sweden meet in the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, on Tuesday at 5:00 PM ET on FOX. France cruised through Group I with three straight victories over Senegal, Iraq, and Norway to finish first with nine points. Sweden advanced as one of the tournament's best third-place teams after drawing Japan in its final group match. France has won four straight matches entering the knockout stage, while Sweden is unbeaten in its last three World Cup games. Build your bankroll with our free World Cup picks.
France Entering the Knockout Stage in Top Form
France has looked every bit like one of the tournament favorites through the group stage. Les Bleus opened with a 3-1 victory over Senegal before defeating Iraq 3-0 and finishing group play with a commanding 4-1 win over Norway. France averaged 3.33 goals per match while allowing only 0.67 goals, producing one of the strongest all-around performances of any nation through the opening round.
Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé have each scored four goals to lead the tournament's most dangerous attack. Michael Olise has supplied three assists, while Mbappé has added two more, giving France elite production from multiple attacking positions. France also averaged 1.86 expected goals per match while controlling possession 56% of the time, consistently creating dangerous opportunities in the final third.
France enters Tuesday's matchup with four consecutive victories dating back to a friendly win over Northern Ireland before the World Cup. Les Bleus have scored 13 goals during that four-match winning streak, showing excellent balance between clinical finishing and defensive stability. With multiple match-winners throughout the lineup, France remains one of the strongest contenders to lift the trophy.
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Injuries: No injuries have been reported for France.
Sweden Looking to Continue Its Surprise Run
Sweden battled through a difficult group to reach the knockout stage and should arrive with confidence after earning a valuable 1-1 draw against Japan to secure qualification. Earlier in the tournament, Sweden defeated Tunisia before falling to the Netherlands in a high-scoring contest. The Swedes averaged 2.33 goals per match despite facing quality opposition throughout group play.
Anthony Elanga has scored twice during the tournament, while Yasin Ayari has also contributed two goals. Alexander Isak has been Sweden's primary playmaker with three assists, and Viktor Gyökeres has added one goal and two assists. Sweden has shown the ability to respond under pressure, and its attack has produced goals in every World Cup match.
The concern for Sweden remains on the defensive end. The Swedes allowed seven goals through three group matches and posted no clean sheets. While the attack has created enough chances to stay competitive, containing France's talented front line will be the biggest challenge Sweden has faced during the tournament.
Injuries: No injuries have been reported for Sweden.
France vs. Sweden Match Pick
- France -0.5 (-140)
France has been one of the tournament's most complete teams, combining elite attacking depth with consistent defensive play. Mbappé and Dembélé have accounted for eight goals through three matches, while Olise continues creating quality chances from midfield. Sweden has enough attacking talent to stay competitive, but its defensive struggles are difficult to overlook against an opponent averaging more than three goals per game. France should control possession, create the better scoring opportunities, and advance comfortably to the Round of 16.
France vs. Sweden Over/Under Pick
- Over 2.5 Goals (-125)
France has scored at least three goals in every World Cup match, while Sweden has found the net in all three of its tournament games despite allowing goals consistently at the other end. Sweden's attacking trio of Isak, Elanga, and Gyökeres has enough quality to challenge the French defense, but France possesses one of the deepest attacks remaining in the competition. With both teams capable of creating chances, this match will cash over the closing line.
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