Germany vs Paraguay Picks and Prediction for Monday, June 29, 2026
Use Code SSWC Germany and Paraguay meet in the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts, on Monday at 4:30 PM ET on FOX. Germany advanced as Group E runners-up after finishing with six points, while Paraguay reached the knockout stage from Group D behind a disciplined defensive effort. Germany has won four of its last five matches despite a 2-1 loss to Ecuador in its group finale, while Paraguay has one win, two draws, and one loss across its last four matches. Check out today's free World Cup picks.
Germany Looking to Regain Momentum
Germany enters the knockout stage after one of the tournament's strongest attacking group-stage performances. The Germans scored 10 goals in three matches, highlighted by a 7-1 victory over Curaçao and a 2-1 win against Côte d'Ivoire before falling 2-1 to Ecuador. Germany still averaged 3.33 goals per match while producing 1.85 expected goals per game and controlling 62% possession, showing its ability to dictate play against nearly every opponent.
Deniz Undav leads Germany with three tournament goals, while Kai Havertz has added two goals. Florian Wirtz and Joshua Kimmich have each recorded two assists, giving Germany creativity through the middle and from wide areas. Although the defense conceded four goals during the group stage, Germany's attacking depth remains one of the most dangerous in the tournament.
Germany has also carried excellent overall form into the Round of 32. Julian Nagelsmann's side has won four of its last five matches, including friendly victories over the United States and Finland before the World Cup. Across those five matches, Germany scored 16 goals while consistently creating quality scoring opportunities through quick passing combinations and aggressive wing play.
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Injuries/Suspensions: No injuries or suspensions have been reported for Germany.
Paraguay Hoping to Keep It Close
Paraguay reached the knockout stage by relying on controlled play rather than attacking firepower. The South Americans defeated Turkey 1-0, drew Australia 0-0, and suffered a 4-1 defeat against the United States during group play. Paraguay averaged only 0.67 goals per match and generated just 0.34 expected goals, but the defense remained disciplined for long stretches and recorded two clean sheets.
Julio Enciso has been Paraguay's primary creator with two assists, while Matías Galarza and Maurício each found the net during the group stage. Paraguay will likely continue to defend in numbers before looking to create chances through counterattacks and set pieces. Maintaining defensive shape will be critical against Germany's talented front line.
Recent form has been mixed. Paraguay has scored seven goals across its last five matches, including a 4-0 friendly victory over Nicaragua before the tournament. However, creating consistent chances against elite competition has been difficult, and Paraguay will need another disciplined defensive performance to extend its World Cup run.
Injuries/Suspensions: No injuries or suspensions have been reported for Paraguay.
Germany vs Paraguay Match Pick
- Germany Moneyline (-135)
Germany owns a significant advantage in attacking quality, possession, and chance creation entering this knockout matchup. The Germans averaged more than three goals per game during the group stage and feature multiple players capable of producing goals from different areas of the pitch. Paraguay deserves credit for its defensive discipline, but the lack of offensive production makes it difficult to trust against one of the tournament's strongest attacks. Expect Germany to control possession throughout the afternoon and eventually wear down Paraguay's defensive block before securing a place in the Round of 16.
Germany vs Paraguay Over/Under Pick
- Over 2.5 Goals (+105)
Germany has already demonstrated its ability to create high-scoring matches after producing 10 goals during group play, including the seven-goal outburst against Curaçao. Paraguay will likely defend deep, but if Germany scores first, the match should become much more open as Paraguay is forced to push forward. Germany possesses enough attacking depth to score multiple goals on its own, making the over the play.
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