Mexico vs. England Picks and Prediction for Sunday, July 5, 2026
Use Code SSWC Mexico faces England in the FIFA World Cup Round of 16 at Estadio Banorte in Mexico City on Sunday at 8:00 PM ET on FOX. Mexico advanced with a 2-0 victory over Ecuador in the Round of 32, while England rallied past DR Congo 2-1 behind two late goals from Harry Kane. Mexico has won five straight matches, including four consecutive World Cup victories, while England has also reached the knockout stage in strong form despite being tested in the previous round. A place in the quarterfinals is at stake as two traditional powers meet in one of the most anticipated Round of 16 matchups. Cash in a winning ticket with our free World Cup picks.
Mexico Looking to Extend Winning Streak
Mexico has played outstanding football throughout the tournament, averaging 2.00 goals per match while conceding none through four World Cup contests. Julián Quiñones leads El Tri with three goals, while Raúl Jiménez has added two goals. Roberto Alvarado has contributed three assists, and Luis Romo has also found the back of the net. Mexico defeated South Africa 2-0, South Korea 1-0, Czechia 3-0, and Ecuador 2-0 to reach the Round of 16, showing consistency at both ends of the pitch.
Mexico has also impressed defensively with four consecutive clean sheets while allowing only 0.55 expected goals against per match. El Tri owns a perfect 100% save percentage entering this matchup and has limited opponents to very few quality scoring opportunities. Mexico has controlled matches with disciplined play and timely possession, making it one of only a handful of teams yet to concede during the tournament.
Injuries: No injuries have been reported for Mexico.
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England Hoping to Build on Comeback Victory
England enters this matchup averaging 2.00 goals per match while creating 1.90 expected goals. Harry Kane has scored five tournament goals in four appearances, continuing to lead the Three Lions in attack. Jude Bellingham has added two goals, while Bukayo Saka and Anthony Gordon have each recorded two assists. England showed toughness in the Round of 32 by recovering from a second-half 1-0 deficit to defeat DR Congo 2-1 after previously advancing through the group stage.
England has allowed 0.75 goals per match while recording two clean sheets and maintaining 65% possession, the highest figure among the remaining Round of 16 teams. The Three Lions have generated a +1.3 expected goal differential through four matches, reflecting their ability to create chances while limiting opponents. England will look to control possession once again against a Mexico side that has thrived throughout the tournament.
Injuries: No injuries have been reported for England.
Recent Head-to-Head
England has won each of the last two meetings between these nations. The Three Lions earned a 3-1 victory in an international friendly in 2010 after defeating Mexico 2-0 during the 1966 FIFA World Cup group stage. Although the meetings have been limited, England has held the advantage in previous encounters.
Mexico vs. England Match Pick
- England Moneyline (+155)
Mexico has enjoyed an outstanding tournament, but England offers more proven attacking quality in the final third. Kane continues to deliver in knockout matches, while Bellingham and Saka provide additional creativity against any defense. Mexico has not conceded a goal during the tournament, though England presents the toughest attacking challenge El Tri has faced. With England controlling possession and carrying multiple scoring threats, backing the Three Lions at plus money is the play.
Mexico vs. England Over/Under Pick
- Over 2.5 Goals (+150)
Both teams average 2.00 goals per match, and each enters the Round of 16 with confidence after advancing from the previous round. England has shown it can create chances even when trailing, while Mexico has scored multiple goals in three of its four World Cup victories. The attacking talent on both sides should produce opportunities throughout the match, making the over the play here.
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