Norway vs Senegal Picks and Prediction for Monday, June 22, 2026
Use Code SSWC Norway and Senegal meet at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, on Monday at 8:00 PM ET in a pivotal Group I match at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Norway sits atop the group with three points after a convincing 4-1 victory over Iraq, while Senegal enters in third place following a 3-1 defeat to France. With France also sitting on three points, Norway can take a major step toward the knockout stage with another victory. Senegal, meanwhile, likely needs at least a point to avoid facing an uphill battle entering the final group match. Norway is a slight favorite at +135 on the moneyline, while Senegal is listed at +195. Build your bankroll with our free World Cup picks
Norway Preview
Norway could hardly have asked for a better start to its World Cup campaign. Starring in their first World Cup appearance since 1998, the Norwegians defeated Iraq 4-1 behind a dominant attacking performance led by Erling Haaland.
Haaland scored twice in his World Cup debut and looked every bit the world-class striker Norway hoped he would be on the biggest stage. His movement consistently stretched Iraq's defense, while Martin Ødegaard orchestrated the attack from midfield and recorded an assist on Leo Østigard's second-half goal. Norway finished with four goals, 2.52 expected goals, and 61% possession while controlling most phases of the match.
The attack extends beyond Haaland. Alexander Sørloth, Antonio Nusa, David Møller Wolfe, and Ødegaard all contributed dangerous moments throughout the opener. Norway's ability to create chances from both open play and set pieces makes them difficult to defend over ninety minutes.
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Defensively, Norway was not flawless. Iraq found success on the counterattack and created a few dangerous opportunities before the match was put away. However, allowing just 0.80 expected goals while generating 2.52 expected goals reflects a strong overall performance. If Norway can maintain that balance, it has the quality to challenge for first place in the group.
Injuries: No major injuries reported entering the match.
Senegal Preview
Despite the 3-1 loss to France, Senegal produced a performance that should provide encouragement heading into this matchup. The final score suggests a comfortable French victory, but Senegal created several excellent chances and remained competitive for much of the contest.
Nicolas Jackson struck the post during the first half, while Ismaïla Sarr missed another dangerous opportunity before halftime. For long stretches, Senegal matched France physically and created problems in transition. The match remained scoreless until the 66th minute before France's superior depth eventually made the difference.
Ibrahim Mbaye scored Senegal's lone goal deep into stoppage time, providing a small reward for an attack that deserved more from the performance. The Lions of Teranga generated quality opportunities despite producing only 0.53 expected goals according to the official match data, suggesting they can be more dangerous than the numbers indicate.
The concern remains the defense. Senegal conceded three goals and now faces another elite attacking player in Haaland. The back line must be more disciplined when defending crosses and transition opportunities. If Senegal allows Norway the same space Iraq provided, containing Haaland becomes extremely difficult.
Injuries: No major injuries reported entering the match.
Norway vs Senegal Pick
- Norway Moneyline (+135)
The line is interesting considering Norway's form and attacking upside. Haaland enters with two goals already, Ødegaard is pulling the strings in midfield, and Norway looked confident throughout its opening victory. Senegal showed positive moments against France but ultimately struggled to finish chances and protect its own penalty area. Norway's attacking quality gives it the edge in what should be a competitive match.
Norway vs Senegal Over/Under Pick
- Over 2.5 Goals (-110)
Both teams enter after matches that comfortably cleared this number. Norway scored four times against Iraq and continues to create chances through Haaland and Ødegaard. Senegal showed enough attacking threat against France to believe it can contribute to the scoreline as well. With Senegal needing points and Norway unlikely to sit back after its opening win, this matchup should feature more goal scoring and push the total over.
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