Panama vs England Picks and Prediction for Saturday, June 27, 2026
Use Code SSWC England and Panama meet in the final Group L match at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, on Saturday at 5:00 PM ET. England is in first place entering Matchday 3 with four points after a 4-2 win over Croatia and a scoreless draw against Ghana. Panama is fourth in the group with zero points following consecutive 1-0 defeats to Ghana and Croatia. England controls its own destiny and can secure first place in the group with a victory. Panama has already been eliminated from knockout-stage contention but will be looking to leave the tournament with a positive performance. Win with our free World Cup picks.
Panama Hoping to Finish Strong
Panama has shown plenty of fight throughout the group stage despite failing to collect a point. Thomas Christiansen's squad lost 1-0 to Ghana before suffering another narrow 1-0 defeat against Croatia. While the results have been disappointing, Panama has remained competitive against teams that are still battling for qualification heading into the final matchday.
The biggest issue has been a lack of attacking production. Panama has yet to score in the tournament and is averaging just 0.64 expected goals per match. Jose Fajardo, Yoel Barcenas, and Cristian Martinez have struggled to create clear scoring opportunities against organized defenses. Despite averaging 52% possession through two matches, Panama has not been able to turn that possession into meaningful chances in the final third.
Panama has one win, one draw, and three losses across its last five matches. A 4-2 victory over the Dominican Republic offered encouragement, but defeats to Brazil, Ghana, and Croatia exposed the gap between Panama and stronger opposition. Defensively, however, Panama deserves credit for limiting both Ghana and Croatia to a single goal. Expect a cautious approach once again as Panama attempts to frustrate England and avoid leaving the tournament without a point.
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Injuries: No injuries or suspensions have been reported
England Looking to Lock Up First Place
England remains in an excellent position despite failing to score in its most recent outing. The Three Lions opened the tournament with an entertaining 4-2 victory over Croatia before being held to a 0-0 draw by Ghana. That result leaves England atop Group L with four points and a +2 goal differential entering the final round.
Harry Kane has led the way with two goals in two appearances, while Jude Bellingham continues to influence matches from midfield. Marcus Rashford, Bukayo Saka, and Eberechi Eze provide additional attacking quality, and Declan Rice remains the stabilizing presence in the center of the pitch. England has been one of the strongest statistical teams in the group, averaging 2.28 expected goals while allowing only 0.44 expected goals against through two matches.
The Three Lions have won three of their last five matches, defeating Croatia, Costa Rica, and New Zealand while conceding only three goals during that span. The squad depth available to Thomas Tuchel is another major advantage. Even if using reserves becomes a consideration, England still possesses far more talent than Panama across every area of the field. With first place still on the line, expect a focused performance from the European side.
Injuries: No injuries or suspensions have been reported
Panama vs England Pick
- England -1.5 (+110)
England has every advantage entering this matchup. The Three Lions have superior talent, stronger stats, more attacking threats, and a greater sense of urgency with first place still available. Panama has yet to score in the tournament and has generated very little offensively against Ghana and Croatia. England should dominate possession, control the tempo, and create the majority of quality chances. Panama's defense may keep the score respectable for a period, but over 90 minutes England's depth and attacking quality should prove too much to overcome..
Panama vs England Over/Under Pick
- Under 3.5 Goals (-140)
The under offers value because Panama has shown a willingness to defend deep and keep matches compact. Both of Panama's World Cup games ended in 1-0 defeats, while England was held scoreless by Ghana despite controlling possession. Panama is unlikely to open the match up and expose itself defensively, especially with pride still on the line in its final tournament appearance. England should control play and eventually find a breakthrough, but a result such as 2-0 or 3-0 appears more likely than a high-scoring rout. With Panama struggling to create chances and England focused on securing qualification rather than chasing style points, the under 3.5 goals is the stronger play.
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