Scotland vs Brazil Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, June 24, 2026
Use Code SSWC Scotland and Brazil meet at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida, on Wednesday at 6:00 PM ET in a crucial Matchday 3 showdown in Group C. Brazil enters the final group-stage match with four points and sits atop the group on goal difference, while Scotland has three points and remains firmly in contention for a place in the knockout rounds. Brazil followed a 1-1 draw against Morocco with an impressive 3-0 victory over Haiti, while Scotland opened the tournament with a 1-0 win against Haiti before falling 1-0 to Morocco. With Morocco facing Haiti simultaneously, qualification remains on the line for both sides entering the final match. Brazil controls its own destiny and can secure first place in the group with a victory, while Scotland knows a win would guarantee advancement and potentially move them into first place. Build your bankroll with our free World Cup picks.
Scotland Fighting for a Knockout Stage Berth
Scotland has remained competitive throughout Group C despite scoring only one goal in two matches. The Scots defeated Haiti 1-0 in their opener before suffering a 1-0 loss against Morocco in a match that was decided by an early Ismael Saibari strike. While the defeat was disappointing, Scotland remained strong defensively and kept itself alive entering Matchday 3.
The challenge for Scotland has been creating chances consistently. The Scots are averaging only 0.50 goals and 0.78 expected goals per match. John McGinn scored the team's only goal of the tournament and remains one of Scotland's most important attacking players. Scott McTominay, Ché Adams, Ryan Christie, and Andy Robertson will also be counted on heavily against one of the strongest squads in the competition.
Defensively, Scotland has performed well. The team has conceded only one goal through two matches while producing a 75% save percentage. The back line, led by Kieran Tierney, Jack Hendry, and Grant Hanley, has helped keep both Haiti and Morocco from creating many clear-cut opportunities.
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Scotland has won three of its last five matches overall, including convincing victories over Bolivia and Curacao before the tournament. If Scotland can remain disciplined defensively and capitalize on limited opportunities in transition, it has a chance to make life difficult for Brazil.
Brazil Looking to Secure Top Spot in Group C
Brazil entered the World Cup among the favorites and has largely performed as expected through two matches. Carlo Ancelotti's squad opened with a 1-1 draw against Morocco before responding with a dominant 3-0 victory over Haiti. The Seleção have scored four goals while allowing only one, and currently owns a plus-three goal differential.
The attack has been led by Vinícius Júnior and Matheus Cunha. Both players have scored twice during the tournament, while Bruno Guimarães and Lucas Paquetá have contributed assists from midfield. Brazil is averaging 2.0 goals per match and has generated 1.51 expected goals per contest despite facing a disciplined Morocco defense in the opener.
Brazil's balance has been equally impressive. The Seleção have allowed only 0.5 goals per match while posting an 83% save percentage. Alisson has rarely been tested, thanks in large part to the defensive work of Marquinhos, Gabriel, Danilo, and Douglas Santos. Brazil has also controlled possession effectively, averaging 54% possession through two matches.
The Seleção have won three of their last four matches overall and have scored 15 goals across their previous five matches in all competitions. With qualification not yet mathematically secured, expect Brazil to approach this match with urgency rather than settling for a draw.
Scotland vs Brazil Pick
- Brazil -1.5
Brazil has significantly more attacking quality and enters in stronger overall form. Scotland has defended well but has scored only one goal in two matches and may eventually struggle to contain the pace and movement of Vinícius Júnior and Matheus Cunha. Brazil should control possession and create enough chances to pull away.
Scotland vs Brazil Over/Under Pick
- Over 2.5 Goals
Scotland needs a positive result to improve its qualification chances, which could force a more aggressive approach than usual. Brazil has scored four goals in two World Cup matches and 15 goals across its last five matches overall. If Scotland is forced to chase the match, additional scoring opportunities should open up throughout the second half.
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