United States vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, July 1, 2026
Use Code SSWC The United States and Bosnia-Herzegovina meet in the FIFA World Cup Round of 32 at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California, on Wednesday at 8:00 PM ET on FOX. The United States won Group D with six points after victories over Paraguay and Australia before a 3-2 loss to Turkey in a match that had no impact on its place in the standings. Bosnia-Herzegovina advanced from Group B as one of the best third-place teams after defeating Qatar in its final group match. The United States has won three of its last five matches, while Bosnia-Herzegovina has one win in its last three World Cup games. Win big using our free World Cup picks.
United States Ready for Knockout Challenge
The United States enjoyed a strong group stage despite ending it with a 3-2 loss to Turkey. Mauricio Pochettino rested several regular starters after the Americans had already secured first place in the group with wins over Paraguay and Australia. The United States averaged 2.67 goals per match during group play while controlling possession nearly 58% of the time.
Folarin Balogun leads the Americans with two goals despite appearing in only two matches. Alex Freeman has contributed one goal and one assist, while Sebastian Berhalter has added a goal and an assist from midfield. Malik Tillman has also created chances with one assist, giving the United States production from several different areas of the field. The attack averaged 1.69 expected goals per match and consistently generated quality scoring opportunities.
Playing another knockout match at home should benefit the Americans. The United States has won four of its last five matches overall dating back to pre-tournament friendlies, and Pochettino is expected to return his strongest lineup after rotating heavily against Turkey. With a partisan crowd behind them and fresh legs throughout the squad, the United States enters the Round of 32 in a favorable position.
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Injuries: No injuries have been reported for the United States.
Bosnia-Herzegovina Looking to Extend Its Run
Bosnia-Herzegovina reached the knockout stage after collecting four points in Group B. The Dragons opened with a 1-1 draw against Canada before suffering a 4-1 defeat to Switzerland. Needing a result in the final match, Bosnia-Herzegovina responded with a convincing 3-1 victory over Qatar to keep its World Cup campaign alive.
Ermin Mahmic has scored two goals through two appearances, while Kerim Alajbegovic and Jovo Lukiฤ have each added one goal. Sead Kolaลกinac, Ivan Baลกiฤ, and Dennis Hadลพikaduniฤ have all recorded assists. Bosnia-Herzegovina averaged 1.67 goals per match but managed only 0.64 expected goals, showing the attack has been highly efficient with its opportunities.
Bosnia-Herzegovina is comfortable defending deep before looking to counterattack quickly. That approach helped frustrate Canada in the tournament opener and could again be the game plan against the United States. The challenge will be slowing an American attack that has shown balance throughout the tournament while limiting mistakes in transition.
Injuries: No injuries have been reported for Bosnia-Herzegovina.
Recent Head-to-Head
The United States and Bosnia-Herzegovina have met only a handful of times in international competition, with no recent World Cup meetings between the nations. Wednesday marks the first-ever meeting between the two countries in a FIFA World Cup.
United States vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina Match Pick
- United States (-180)
The United States enters the knockout stage with the stronger overall squad and should benefit from returning several regular starters after resting key players against Turkey. The Americans have created more consistent scoring chances throughout the tournament, and Balogun provides a dangerous finishing option up front. Bosnia-Herzegovina deserves credit for reaching the Round of 32, but its defensive vulnerabilities were exposed against Switzerland, and the United States has enough pace and attacking depth to capitalize. Expect the Americans to control possession and advance with a solid overall performance.
United States vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina Over/Under Pick
- Over 2.5 Goals (-120)
The United States averaged nearly three goals per match during group play, while Bosnia-Herzegovina has both scored and conceded regularly throughout the tournament. Bosnia-Herzegovina will likely create opportunities on the counterattack, especially if the Americans push numbers forward. With both teams capable of finding the net and the United States expected to dictate the tempo, this matchup has a good chance of producing at least three total goals.
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