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Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros,
10-16-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#907 Boston
Red Sox 8.5
#908 Houston
Astros -125

Tuesday, October 16, 2018 at 5:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Boston Red Sox
N. EOVALDI

112 - 56

7
W's
7
L's
3.62
ERA
1.09
WHIP

Houston Astros
D. KEUCHEL

107 - 60

12
W's
11
L's
3.78
ERA
1.31
WHIP

With the team achieving their goal of stealing a game on the road, the Houston Astros will try to take advantage of playing in front of their fans when they face the Boston Red Sox in the third game of the ALCS. The game will be played on Tuesday, October 16 and it is scheduled to begin at 5:09 PM. ET.

Nathan Eovaldi, who is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA, will get the start for the Red Sox. The Astros will counter with Dallas Keuchel, who is 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA.

Red Sox Going For Second Consecutive Win

The Red Sox bounced back from their loss in the first game of the series with a clutch win over the Astros, thanks to their offense, which drove in seven runs. The Red Sox also overcame another rough start from David Price, who gave up five hits and four earned runs in 4.2 innings and remains winless in the playoffs as a starter.

After scoring nine runs in the first two games, the Red Sox will be hoping their offense continues to play well on the road against a Houston team with the best pitching staff in the league.

The Red Sox haven’t hit a home run in this series, but they have gotten some clutch hits from Mookie Betts, who is batting .375 with one RBI, and Jackie Bradley Jr. who is batting .167 but hit a three-run double that gave the Red Sox the lead for good on Sunday.

Eovaldi played well in his start against the New York Yankees in the ALDS, giving up five hits and one earned run in seven innings while striking out five batters. The Red Sox will need another solid start from the Houston native on Tuesday.

In his only start against the Astros this season, Eovaldi gave up seven hits and four earned runs in six innings.

Astros Trying To Bounce Back From First Postseason Loss

The Astros had won four consecutive playoff games before losing to the Red Sox on Sunday. They will be trying to rebound from the loss and take a 2-1 series lead against the Red Sox on Tuesday.

After a stellar performance in the second game of the ALDS, Gerrit Cole struggled against the Red Sox, giving up five runs in three innings. Despite his poor start, the Astros managed to rally but fell short after Alex Bregman’s potential game-winning home run fell short of the Green Monster.

Despite the loss, the Astros like their chances heading into game 3 because they feel they could have won their previous game despite their bad game.

George Springer, who hit three home runs in the ALDS, hasn’t hit one in two games against the Red Sox, but he is batting .375 with four RBIs. Jose Altuve struggled in the first two games of the series, batting .125 with one hit and one RBI.

With the team playing at home, expect Springer and Altuve to play better than they did in the first two games, which could spell trouble for the Red Sox.

Keuchel was solid in his only postseason start, giving up four hits and two earned runs in five innings, helping the Astros get an 11-3 win over the Cleveland Indians to complete the three-game sweep.

In his only regular season start against the Red Sox, Keuchel gave up nine hits and five earned runs in six innings.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

The Astros are perfect in their last four home games in the ALCS and have won 13 of their last 16 home games. The Red Sox have played well in their last seven ALCS games, winning five of them, but they have lost five of the last seven games Eovaldi started against teams with winning records, giving the Astros the edge.

Prediction: Houston Astros -135

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

The total has gone over in three of Boston’s last five ALCS games and in 13 of their last 17 games. The total has also gone over in all seven of Houston’s last seven home games against teams with winning records, in four of their last five games, and in six of their last seven games against the Red Sox in Houston, making the over the best bet here.

Prediction: Over 8.5

Full-Game Prop Bet
Rating:

The Astros are averaging six runs per game through the first two games of the series and they will likely go over four runs again in this game because the team is hitting the ball well will face a pitcher they scored four runs against the last time they faced him.

Prediction: Astros Total Runs Over 4

First Five Innings Side Pick
Rating:

The Red Sox are averaging 3.67 runs per game in the first five innings of their last three games, while the Astros average 2.33 runs per game. With Keuchel giving up five runs the last time he faced the Red Sox, their chances of winning the first five innings are very high.

Prediction: Boston Red Sox +110

First Five Innings Total Bet
Rating:

The Red Sox and Astros averaged 4.5 runs in the first five innings of the first two games of the ALCS, with their best pitchers on the mound. Expect them to go over 4.5 runs on Tuesday because the starting pitchers will struggle against two of the best offenses in the league.

Prediction: Over 4.5

First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Rating:

The Red Sox are averaging one run per game in the first inning of the first two games of the ALCS, while the Astros have not scored a first-inning run so far. There will be at least one runs scored in the first inning of this game because the starting pitchers struggled the last time they faced their opponents, and the Astros will be trying to get a quick score in their first home game of the ALCS.

Prediction: Will there be a score in the 1st Inning? Yes +105

Bosun Akinpelu

I am very passionate about sports, so I kind of feel bad that I get paid to do this. As someone who minored in Mathematics, I have a lot of faith in numbers, and make my picks based on stats and not emotions. I've been successfully picking winners for quite some time, so stick with me if you want to get paid.

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