Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB: Tuesday, October 16, 2018, Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California, 9:09 PM ET
The Milwaukee Brewers opened the series with a 6-5 win and had a 3-0 lead in the Game 2 but the Los Angeles Dodgers came from behind to book an important victory and tie the series before it moved to California.
The pitching matchup for Tuesday’s tilt will give us Rich Hill for the Los Angeles Dodgers, while the Milwaukee Brewers still didn’t name their starting pitcher for this clash. First pitch was set for 9:09 PM ET.
The Brewers lost Game 2 after dropping a 3-0 lead
Milwaukee swept the Colorado Rockies in the first round of the playoffs and opened the NL Championship Series with a win over the Los Angeles Dodgers but the late surge from the Dodgers settled the Game 2. The Brewers took a 3-0 lead as they scored in the fifth and sixth innings before the visitors answered with four runs in the seventh and eighth to book a 4-3 comeback win.
Milwaukee scored three or more runs in each of their last nine games and they know that they must score at least three against the best defense in the National League that is allowing only 3.74 runs per contest. The Brewers are scoring 4.62 runs per game and three runs weren’t sufficient in the previous tilt, so they will be looking for 4+ runs here.
The Dodgers ended the Brewers’ 12-game-winning run
Los Angeles was not in a good position in the Game 2 after losing the opening clash and were down 3-0 following the first six innings but an excellent performance in the seventh and eighth innings was enough to secure a 4-3 victory. The Dodgers are now back home where they won eight out of the previous nine games and have the best offense in the NL that is averaging 4.93 runs per contest, while they are facing Milwaukee’s defense that allows 4.04 runs per game. Los Angeles already scored five runs in the opening game but that wasn’t good enough for a win but I believe five runs here will do the trick.
Rich Hill is set as the starting pitcher in the Game 4 against the Milwaukee Brewers, and the 38-year-old played 25 games in this campaign and has 11 wins and five losses as he recorded 3.66 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 132 innings. Hill played against Milwaukee twice this year and has a win with a 1.50 ERA in 12 innings, allowing three runs in the process.
- 8-2 in their last ten playoff games played at home
- 9-0 in their last nine games played at home vs. an opponent with a winning record
- 6-0 in Hills last six starts
- 2-5 in their last seven League Championship games
- 2-6 in their last eight playoff games played on the road
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Los Angeles won five out of the previous nine H2H encounters including three out of the last four, while the Dodgers were victorious in the past two meetings at the Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers conceded only two runs in their last five home game including three shutouts, so I am backing the best defense in the National League to keep the visitors at bay, while the offense scored at least three runs in each of the previous 11 games at home. Milwaukee showed they can hurt the Dodgers but after dropping a 3-0 lead in the latest clash, I am not sure they have what it takes to get a win on a hot Los Angeles turf.
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers (-150)
Full-Game Total Pick
For those who prefer playing on the over/under, under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Los Angeles; under is 4-0 in Dodgers previous four playoff home games, while under is 5-1 in Brewers last six overall. I am going to ignore the fact that over is 19-7-1 in Hills last 27 starts as I confide in the Dodgers’ sturdy defense to take this game to under.
Prediction: Under 7.5 (-105)
Full-Game Prop Bet
Milwaukee stunned the Dodgers with a 4-0 win in Game 3, which was the first time Los Angeles failed to score at home since a 14-0 defeat to Houston in early August, and the hosts cannot afford to lose this one, so I am backing them to score at least four runs here.
Prediction: Team Totals: Los Angeles Dodgers Over 3.5 (-145)
First Five Innings Side Pick
The Brewers were up after the first five innings in all three games of the series so far and although I am backing the Dodgers to win this encounter, it’s clear that Milwaukee has been a better rival in the opening five innings.
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers (+130)
First Five Innings Total Bet
The previous two H2H duels failed to produce more than two runs in the first five innings and considering that I expect to see a low-scoring affair here, I am also backing under four runs in the opening five innings.
Prediction: Under 4 (-125)
First Five Innings Prop Prediction
Even though the only run in the first five innings occurred in the opening inning in the latest clash, two games before didn’t produce a score in the first innings and I think that will be the case on this one as well.
Prediction: A Run in the 1st Inning: NO (-140)