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Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankees,
4-16-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#923 Miami
Marlins 8
#924 New York
Yankees -310

Monday, April 16, 2018 at 6:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Miami Marlins (4-11) at New York Yankees (7-7)

When and Where: Monday, April 16, New York, New York, 6:35 P.M. EST

The Miami Marlins will travel north to the Bronx to take on the Yankees this Monday evening in the first game of a two game interleague set. The Marlins have lost five of their last six and are coming off two straight defeats to the Pirates. The Yankees will be well-rested after all three of their scheduled games with the Tigers were postponed.

Marlins drop six of seven

The Miami Marlins got off to a rough start but things have gotten even worse lately. They are in last place in the NL East and are 2.5 games out of fourth place in the division and 8.5 games behind the first place Pirates. Rookie, Brian Anderson has been the biggest bright spot for the Marlins and one of their most consistent hitters. He is hitting .268 with a .388 on base percentage. He has racked up a team-high 10 RBI and four doubles. Justin Bour is surging as well after a very slow start. He has knocked four home runs to tie Anderson with 10 RBI. They are the only players with over six runs batted in for the struggling Marlins offense.

Caleb Smith is expected to make his fourth start of the year for the Marlins. He is 0-1 with a 4.73 ERA through his first three starts. He has struck out 19 batters through 13.1 innings. Smith has been one of the more consistent pitchers for Miami, giving up no more than three runs in his starts but he will need some offensive supports. The Marlins have had an extremely shaky bullpen, including multiple blown saves. One of their only consistent relievers is Drew Steckenrider who has given up zero runs through 7.2 innings while striking out 10 batters.

Yankees come back home after three straight rain delays

The New York Yankees are trying to live up to their potential but are still sitting with a .500 record after missing their entire series with Detroit. They will get a chance to gain some momentum if they can string together some wins against this wounded Marlins team. Aaron Judge has been outstanding, hitting .340 with a .470 on base percentage. He has hit three home runs and three doubles, driving in nine runs. Didi Gregorius leads the Yankees with 11 RBI and a 1.122 OPS. He has only struck out three times in 45 at-bats.

Because of the rain delays, the Yankees have not announced who they will send out to pitch on Monday evening. Luis Severino is the most likely option, looking to bounce back from his recent start against the Red Sox, in which he was knocked out after allowing five runs in five innings. Unlike last season, the Yankees bullpen has really struggled. Closer Aroldis Chapman has been solid, converting both of his save opportunities. Chad Green has also been solid lately, giving up just two runs in his third appearance.

Trends:

Marlins:

  • 5-16 in last 21 road games

Yankees:

  • 6-0 in last six interleague games
  • 5-0 in Severino’s last five starts

The Miami Marlins are in a tough place, going 2-8 in their last 10. Their offense has faltered, making them sitting ducks for the blazing fastball of Severino. The Yankees bullpen has been cause for concern but Miami is not a team that is likely to make them pay for it. A well rested Yankees team with their ace on the mound should get the win over the Marlins to put them back over the .500 mark.

Pick: Yankees

Nick Cowie

Nick graduated with an environmental science degree and is a freelance writer, covering anything from fighting to forestry. He is a washed up swimmer and a sports and comedy enthusiast.

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