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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves,
4-16-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#905 Philadelphia
Phillies -120
#906 Atlanta
Braves 8

Monday, April 16, 2018 at 7:35pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Philadelphia Phillies
A. NOLA

9 - 5

1
W's
0
L's
1.96
ERA
0.98
WHIP

Atlanta Braves
J. TEHERAN

8 - 6

0
W's
1
L's
7.07
ERA
1.79
WHIP

Philadelphia Phillies (9-5 SU, 6-8 ATS, 7-6-1 O/U) at Atlanta Braves (8-6 SU, 9-5 ATS, 5-6-3 O/U)

When and Where: Monday, April 16, SunTrust Park, Atlanta, Ga., 7:35 p.m. EDT.

The Philadelphia Phillies seek their first seven-game winning streak in over five years as they return to Atlanta to face the Braves for the second time in the first month of the season.

Philadelphia (9-6) capped a three-game road sweep of Tampa Bay with a 10-4 romp Sunday as 5-6-7 hitters Scott Kingery, Mikael Franco and Aaron Altherr combined to drive in seven runs. The Phillies, whose last seven-game winning was from Sept. 5-12, 2012, have totaled 37 runs during this six-game run despite hitting just .223.

Nola looks to build on solid outing in search for back-to-back wins

Aaron Nola (1-0, 1.96 ERA) has started strong this season looking to build on his breakout 12-win campaign last year and out to win consecutive starts.

The right-hander had his best outing of 2018 on Tuesday, limiting Cincinnati to one run and three hits over eight innings of a 6-1 victory. Nola walked three and struck out six while lowering opponents’ batting average against him to .161 through his first three starts.

Nola has been efficient, averaging just 14.1 pitches per inning and getting ahead of hitters consistently by throwing 72.2 percent of his first offerings for strikes. While he has not maintained the better than a strikeout-per-inning pace from 2017 in which he fanned 184 in 168 innings, Nola enters this game with a 0.98 WHIP as he has yielded just 10 hits in 18 1-3 innings.

He opened the season in Atlanta and pitched well enough to win, holding the Braves to one run and three hits in 5 1-3 innings, but the Phillies bullpen squandered a three-run lead over the final two innings of an 8-5 setback March 29.

Nola has dominated the Braves in his career, compiling a 5-1 record and 1.93 ERA in eight starts. He has wins in his last three decisions against them and has posted a 2-0 record and 2.13 ERA in four career starts in Atlanta.

Freddie Freeman is 6 for 17 with a homer and two doubles versus Nola, while Nick Markakis is 5 for 19 with a pair of home runs. Ender Inciarte is the only other Braves player with more than 10 at-bats against the righty and is 5 for 20.

Rainout gives Teheran second shot at Phillies

Sunday’s rainout pushed Julio Teheran‘s start back a day as he gets a second start against Nola and the Phillies.

Teheran (0-1, 7.07 ERA) has gotten off to a slow start but while he had his best outing last time out, he was saddled with a loss due to a lack of run support. The right-hander was reached for two runs and five hits in six innings of a 2-0 defeat at Washington last Monday, the second time in his three starts the Braves have failed to back him with any runs.

Teheran, though, has also failed to help himself by posting a 27.00 ERA in the first inning of his three starts, giving up at least one run in each appearance and six overall. He has walked 10 in 14 innings and also served up four home runs among the 15 hits allowed.

Against the Phillies on March 29, Teheran settled down after allowing a first-inning run but failed to get out of sixth when they tacked on four more. He allowed four runs and four hits in 5 2-3 innings, getting bailed out when the Braves rallied late for that 8-5 win.

Teheran is 8-6 with a 3.53 ERA in 19 career starts versus Philadelphia, though the Braves have failed to score more than three runs in any of his last nine outings against the Phillies. He is only 2-4 with a 4.12 ERA in 11 home starts against his NL East rivals and has been given more than two runs just once in those games.

Franco is 10 for 30 with two doubles in their matchups, while Rhys Hoskins is 3 for 8 with two doubles. Cesar Hernandez and Odubel Herrera are both hitting below .200 against Teheran, combining for 10 hits in 58 at-bats while each belting a homer.

Trends:

The Phillies are:

  • 10-4 in Nola’s last 14 starts with at least five days’ rest.
  • 4-0 in their last four games vs. right-handed starters.

The Braves are:

  • 1-10 in their last 11 Monday games.
  • 1-4 in their last five home games following a road trip of seven days or more.

Atlanta took two of three games between the teams in that series-opening series, losing only the middle game in extra innings. Philadelphia hit .216 collectively, though Hoskins went 5 for 10 with a homer and two doubles in the three games.

Freeman and Markakis combined to drive in nine of Atlanta’s 27 runs in that series, and after splitting an eight-game road swing, the Braves are eager to return to SunTrust Park considering they have averaged 8.0 runs while hitting .297 in their first six games.

Pick: Phillies

Chris Altruda (@AlTruda73)

A 1994 graduate of Marquette University when they were known as the Warriors and Brooklyn native, Chris Altruda is a freelance sportswriter based in Chicago. He has worked at three major U.S. wire services and also has prior experience in sports handicapping and daily fantasy roster building. Now that the Cubs have won a World Series, he holds out hope the Jets will win a Super Bowl before he dies. Can be followed on Twitter at @AlTruda73.

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