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Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays,
4-16-2018 - Expert Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#917 Texas
Rangers 8.5
#918 Tampa Bay
Rays -175

Monday, April 16, 2018 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Texas Rangers (6-11) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (3-12)

Where and when:  Tropicana Field, Tampa, Florida, Monday, 7:10 pm EST

The Texas Rangers will travel to Tampa, Florida, to play a 3-game set against the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field beginning on Monday at 10 pm EST.  In their last meeting on 4/16/2018, the Rangers were able to get the 6-5 road win.  In this game, Adrian Beltre, Roughned Odor, Carlos Gomez, Joey Gallo each had 2 hits apiece while Odor had 3 RBI’s.  While Tyson Ross (3.2 IP, 5 R, 4 H, 4 BB, 5 SO) started the game, Matt Bush (3-4) picked up the win in this contest for the Rangers.  For the Rays, Jake Odorizzi (4 IP, 3 R, 4 H, 3 BB, 2 HR, 5 SO) started on the mound, yet, Brad Boxberger (2-2) suffered the loss after allowing 3 runs on 2 hits in only 1 inning.  Tampa Bay only mustered 6 hits in this game with Mallex Smith having 2 of those with 2 RBI’s in the losing effort.  Evan Longoria (1-5) and Steve Sousa, Jr. (0-2) struggled throughout the day.  The Rangers won on the spread as underdogs (+114) while the over was the play in that the total was set at 9.5 runs for the game.

The Texas Rangers come into this game losers of 3 of their last 5 yet winners of 2 straight to where the O/U was 2-3.  In their last outing, they needed 10 innings in which to squeak by the Houston Astros on the road by a 3-1 score on Sunday night.  Robinson Chirinos accounted for 2 hits and 3 RBI’s in the victory while Bartolo Colon picked up the win by going 7.2 innings and allowing 1 run on 1 hit, 1 walk, and 7 strikeouts with an ERA of 1.45.  Houston could only muster 3 hits in this contest with 2 hits being by Josh Reddick.  DH Yuli Gurriel (0-3) had an RBI on the night.  Justin Verlander suffered the loss for the Astros as he went 8 innings while allowing only 1 run on 1 hit, 1 walk, 1 homer, and 11 strikeouts on the night with an ERA of 1.35.  The Rangers cashed in on the spread as huge underdogs (+234) while the under was the play in that the total was set 8 runs for the game.

The Tampa Bay Rays enter this series losers of 4 of their last 5 games to where the O/U was 3-2.  They are fresh off a series with the Philadelphia Phillies to where they were swept 3-0 with their last outing on Sunday saw the Rays lose by a score of 10-4 at home.  In this game, Denard Spann, Johnny Field, Mallex Smith, and Jesus Sucre each had 2 hits while compiling for 4 RBI’s for the Phillies in the victory.  Ryan Yarborough (0-1) suffered the loss for the Rays as he went 4.2 innings while allowing 5 runs on 3 hits, 2 walks, 2 strikeouts, with an ERA of 2.84 for the game.  The Phillies covered the spread as underdogs (+128) while the over was the play in that the total was set at 8 runs for the game.

Perez Looking to Regroup After Disastrous Outing

Left-hander Martin Perez (1-1) will take the mound for his 3rd start of the year.  In his last time out, Perez delivered 90 pitches while lasting only 3 innings and allowing 8 runs on 9 hits, 4 walks, 2 homers, and 2 strikeouts in a 11-1 home loss to the LA Angels on 4/10.  In his last outing versus the Rays on 5/29/2017, the lefty delivered 98 pitches while lasting 5 innings and allowed 5 runs on 9 hits, 1walk, 1 homer, and 6 strikeouts in a 10-8 home loss.

C.J. Cron (.278 BA, 18 AB, 5 H, 6 RBI, 2 SO) and Brad Miller (.333 BA, 12 AB, 4 H, 3 BB, 1 RBI) have the most experience against Perez along with a decent amount of success; However, Kenin Kiermaier (1-6), Carlos Gomez (0-5), and Matt Duffy (0-5) have struggled against the lefty in recent matchups.  Furthermore, Daniel Robertson and Jesus Sucre are a combined 2-4 against Perez.

Snell Remains Solid This Season

Blake Snell (1-1) will grace the mound on Monday in what will be his 4th start of the season.  In his last outing, Snell delivered 114 pitches while lasting 6 innings and allowing 1 run on 1 hit, 5 walks, and 10 strikeouts in a 6-5 road win versus the Chicago White Sox on 4/10.  For the year, the left-hander has pitched 15 innings while allowing 8 runs on 10 hits, 10 walks, 17 strikeouts, along with an ERA of 3.60.  This will be his first matchup against a very inconsistent and shaky Texas Rangers lineup.

Trends

  • The Rangers are 7-19 in last 26 games
  • The Rangers are 5-13 in last 18 Monday games
  • The Under is 8-1-1 in Rangers last 10 road games
  • The Rays are 2-11 in last 13 games
  • The Rays are 7-19 in last 26 Monday games
  • The Under is 26-10 in Rays last 36 home games

Perez is coming off an awful game against a hot Angels team in his last outing while Snell, despite getting a much-needed win his last outing, has not exactly been lighting it up on the mound for the Rays thus far.  The Rangers are coming off 2 straight road wins versus a tough Astros squad on Saturday and Sunday which could certainly become a huge momentum booster for a team that has not found their rhythm early in the year.  In all, with the Rays continuing to struggle, a 3-game series could work out well for the Rangers who desperately need a couple wins to obtain even more momentum and confidence moving forward.  Take the underdog Rangers to surprise the public much like they did this weekend against Houston to win their 3rd in a row.

Pick: Texas Rangers +143

Falepa Emme

A true analyst for a variety of sports, Falepa Emme has been a sports enthusiast for decades. His ability to read, learn, write, and constantly think sports will offer a unique perspective to NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL, along with MLB contests. Falepa's passion for analytics in each of these areas will certainly benefit the reader in obtaining more insight into upcoming match-ups.

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