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Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets,
4-16-2018 - Pick and Prediction

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#903 Washington
Nationals 8
#904 New York
Mets -170

Monday, April 16, 2018 at 7:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Washington Nationals (7-8, 4-2 Away) at New York Mets (11-2, 5-2 Home)

MLB: Monday, April 16, 2018, Citi Field, New York, New York, 7:10 PM ET

The Washington Nationals entered the new season with four consecutive victories, but then suffered five defeats in a row, while the latest negative streak lasted three games. However, the Nationals bounced back with a win over Colorado and now are hoping to win at least one out of the next three games with the best teams in the NL at the moment. On the other hand, the New York Mets are at the top of the NL, but the Arizona Diamondbacks are just behind them in the table, and the host will try to stay in the first place with a positive series in NYC.

The pitching matchup for Monday’s tilt will give us A.J. Cole for the Washington Nationals against the New York Mets’ Jacob deGrom. First pitch was set for 7:10 PM ET.

The Nationals are on the road for the first time since April 4

Washington snapped the three-game losing run with a 6-2 victory over the Colorado Rockies, but it’s evident that they are hot and cold this year and it is extremely hard to predict their results. The Nationals were down by two early in the first inning, but that was all from the Rockies who had just two hits for the entire tilt. Max Scherzer pitched almost perfectly and Colorado didn’t have the proper answer for his balls, while Matt Wieters put the hosts on a scoreboard with a homer in the fourth inning. The Nationals destroyed the Rockies in the sixth inning by scoring four runs and Wieters was among those who contributed with a run, while Ryan Zimmerman settled the final result with a run in the seventh inning.

A.J. Cole is set to start against the New York Mets on Monday, and he’s coming from a 3-5 record in 2017, a 3.81 ERA, a 1.50 WHIP, 27 walks, and 44 strikeouts in 11 goals in total. Cole started two games in this season and has one loss as he pitched nine innings, allowing 13 hits and 12 runs with five walks and nine strikeouts. Those aren’t good numbers for the 26-year-old pitcher who never had a winning season in his three-year experience, so he could be the weak link here.

The Mets are confident of staying at the top after this series

New York was in a fantastic run of nine victories before the Milwaukee Brewers stopped them at the Citi Field with a 5-1 win. The Mets opened the series with a 6-5 win, but their offense was toothless in the following tilt as they had just three hits in opposite to Milwaukee’s nine, so the loss was inevitable. The visitors took a 4-0 lead, and New York cut it through Michael Conforto’s run, but that was all we saw from the Mets on this one.

Jacob deGrom is listed as a starting pitcher against the Washington Nationals, and he’s coming from a 15-10 record in 2017, a 3.53 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, 59 walks, and 239 strikeouts in 31 games overall. deGrom started three games in this campaign and has two wins as he pitched 17 innings, allowing 15 hits and seven runs with five walks and 18 strikeouts. The Mets are 6-0 in deGrom’s last six Monday starts; 4-1 in deGrom’s previous five starts, while they are 9-3 in deGrom’s last 12 starts vs. National League East opponents.

Trends:

Washington:

  • 3-8 in their last 11 games played on the grass
  • 2-6 in their last eight vs. National League East rivals
  • 1-4 in their last five games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15

New York:

  • 5-0 in their last five during game one of a series
  • 12-2 in their last 14 vs. National League East rivals
  • 8-2 in their last ten games played at home

New York won the previous five H2H duels, but Washington was in a 6-0 winning run prior to the Mets’ streak and won four out of the last five at the Citi Field. When we look into a wider picture and go several years back, the Nationals are 47-16 in the last 63 meetings in New York, but the Mets are 8-2 in deGroms previous ten starts vs. Nationals, so it seems that he is a winning recipe and the biggest reason why I am backing the Mets here. For those who prefer playing on the points, over is 13-6-1 in the last 20 encounters.

The Pick: New York

The Admiral

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