Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland California
When: Tuesday, April 16, 2019, 10.07pm Eastern
We have an American League West matchup to consider when the Houston Astros face the Oakland Athletics for game one of their three-game series beginning Tuesday night at 10:07 pm Eastern. Right-hander Collin McHugh is scheduled to take the hill for the Astros and right-hander Frankie Montas is scheduled to be on the bump for the Athletics. I’m the Flash and looking forward to discussing this game for you today.
Astros Nine Game Winning Streak
After a slow start to their 2019 campaign, the Astros have reeled off nine consecutive victories and find themselves in second place in the AL West and just one game behind division leader Seattle. The Astros offense ranks ninth in the American League and the pitching staff ranks third in the American League with a team ERA of 3.17 and their team xFIP of 3.26 suggests this low team ERA and the success of this pitching staff isn’t a fluke.
— Houston Astros (@astros) April 15, 2019
The Astros aren’t reporting any significant injuries for their series with the Athletics.
After a tough opening season loss, McHugh (2-1, 2.65) has found a groove and has won consecutive starts against these very same Athletics and pitched a four-hit, one walk with nine strikeout gem against the New York Yankees. McHugh sports a 2.65 ERA and his 2.75 xFIP suggests we could be seeing more of the same from McHugh. The current Athletics hasn’t had much success over their career against McHugh, slashing .204/.283/.336/.620 with three bombs and 31 strikeouts over 113 at bats.
The Houston offense ranks 13th in baseball against right-handed pitching this season. The boast a .177 ISO, .336 wOBA, a wRC+ of 118 and a 20 percent strikeout rate against righties this season.
Sweep Orioles, Split with Rangers
Oakland is currently in fourth place in the AL West and 3.5 games behind the Mariners for the top spot in the division. Oakland swept the Baltimore Orioles and split with the Texas Rangers in a rain-shortened series this past weekend. The Athletics offense ranks second in the American League and the pitching staff ranks tenth in the AL with a 4.40 team ERA and their 5.21 xFIP suggests that maybe the Athletics pitching staff has been a bit lucky thus far this season.
— Oakland Athletics (@Athletics) April 14, 2019
The Athletics have a lengthy injury report with the most notable being first baseman Matt Olson who is out with a hand injury. Olson is one of Oakland’s best hitters and will be missed while he recuperates from hand surgery.
Montas (2-1, 3.18) is off to a terrific start to his 2019 season and is coming off a three-hit, three earned victory where he struck out three Baltimore Orioles while allowing just one free pass and two bombs for his second win of the season. Montas has a 3.18 ERA and his 3.91 xFIP suggests maybe Montas has been a bit lucky this season. The current Astros have had some success against Montas over their career, slashing .361/.443/.475/.918 with one bomb and seven strikeouts in 61 at-bats.
The Athletics offense ranks 16th in baseball with a .195 ISO, .326 wOBA and wRC+ of 109 and strike out 19 percent of the time they face righties this season.
- Athletics are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Athletics are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Athletics are 1-5 in their last 6 games following an off day.
- Astros are 6-1 in McHugh’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 33-6 in McHugh’s last 39 starts vs. American League West.
- Astros are 5-1 in McHugh’s last 6 starts.
- Astros are 14-3 in McHugh’s last 17 starts with 5 days of rest.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Houston is on fire and I don’t see the Athletics extinguishing that fire on Tuesday night. Houston has had success against Montas and Oakland hasn’t done much over their career against McHugh. I saw the following trend that I think might be helpful for this contest;
- Astros are 8-1 in McHughs last 9 starts vs. Athletics.
We make “Cash with the Flash” when we play the Astros on Tuesday night.
Prediction: Houston -140
Full-Game Total Pick
I like both pitchers but I like the offenses more. Especially when the wind could be gusting as much as 15mph and blowing out. Montas is known for allowing bombs and McHugh and his 20 percent line drive rate means gap shots could be in the cards. I saw the following matchup specific trend I think might be helpful on Tuesday night;
- Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Oakland.
We make “Cash with the Flash” when we play the over on Tuesday night.
Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs