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Atlanta Braves vs. Cleveland Indians Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 4-20-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#979 Atlanta
Braves
#980 Cleveland
Indians

Saturday, April 20, 2019 at 4:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Atlanta Braves
.

9 - 9

2
W's
1
L's
4.71
ERA
1.48
WHIP

Cleveland Indians
.

11 - 7

2
W's
1
L's
2.05
ERA
1.03
WHIP

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Atlanta Braves vs Cleveland Indians

Where: Progressive Field, Cleveland Ohio

When: Saturday, April 20, 2019, 4:10 pm Eastern

We have inter-league baseball to discuss for Friday night when the Atlanta Braves visit Northeast Ohio for a three-game series with the Cleveland Indians. The Braves are in third place in the National League East and is planning on right-hander Julio Teheran to take the bump on Friday night. The Tribe is in first place in the American League Central and righty Trevor Bauer will likely do the pitching for Cleveland. I’m the Flash and looking forward to discussing this game with you today.

Braves Swept by Diamondbacks

In their last two series matchups, the Braves defeated the New York Mets and swept by the Arizona Diamondbacks in their most recent series. Atlanta is a sub .500 team and 2.5 games behind the Philadelphia Phillies for the top spot in the National League East. The Braves bats ranks ninth in the National League and the pitching staff ranks ninth and has a team ERA of 4.53 and their 4.65 xFIP suggests that the Braves pitching staff isn’t very good right now.

Atlanta isn’t reporting any significant injuries for their series with the Indians.

Teheran (2-1, 4.71) has won two consecutive games and is coming off a six-hit, one earned run victory over the New York Mets. Teheran scattered six hits including a bomb with two walks and six strikeouts. Teheran has a 4.71 ERA and his 4.20 xFIP suggests Teheran might have been unlucky thus far this season. Teheran has dominated the current collection of Indians over his career, allowing a .061/.130/.122/.252 slash line with one bomb and 14 strikeouts over 49 career at-bats.

The Braves rank seventh in baseball against right-handed pitching with a .172 ISO, .347 wOBA and wRC+ of 112 and a 22 percent strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.

Indians In First Place in AL Central

Cleveland started off slowly but are now in first place in the American League Central with a record of 11 wins and seven losses. In the past two series,’ the Indians were swept by the Kansas City Royals and then swept the Seattle Mariners in Seattle. The Indians pitching staff ranks fourth in the American League with a team ERA of 3.17 and their 3.93 xFIP suggests the pitching staff might have been a bit lucky. The Tribe offense ranks 14th in the American League and average 3.5 runs per game this season.

The Indians are hoping shortstop Francisco Lindor will be coming off the disabled list and make his season debut in this series. Carlos Santana is also questionable for Friday night and his bat is an important part of the Indians offense.

Bauer (2-1, 2.05) will take the ball for the Tribe and is coming off a strong outing against the Seattle Mariners, allowing just one earned run over 6.1 innings pitched with eight strikeouts and three walks for his second victory of the season. Bauer has an ERA of 2.05 and his 3.71 xFIP suggests some regression might be in store for Bauer.  This current Braves side has had success against Bauer over his career with three bombs and 14 strikeouts and a .288/.357/.525/.883 slash line over their 59 at bat career against Bauer.

Cleveland ranks 28th in baseball against right-handed pitching with a .130 ISO, wOBA of .263. wRC+ of 60 and a 26 percent strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Bauer is a beast at home and over the past three seasons has a 23-9 record at Progressive Field and his counterpart Teheran is better on the road than he has been at home, posting an 18-13 record over the past three seasons. So this should be a good game that should come down to a couple of runs. Cleveland is 5-1 at home this season and the Braves are a sub .500 road club this season. We make “Cash with the Flash” with Bauer and the Indians on Saturday afternoon.

Prediction: Indians

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

With the rainy weather and two solid pitchers going against each other, I don’t expect that many runs being scored. Cleveland hasn’t hit righties well this season and the Braves have been good offensively but have to face Bauer. Both sides have gone under the total in more than 50 percent of their games this season. I saw the following trend I think might be helpful for Saturday afternoon;

  • Under is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings.

We make “Cash with the Flash” when we play the under on Saturday afternoon.

Prediction: Under

Phil Naessens

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