Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Angel Stadium of Anaheim, Anaheim California
When: Saturday, April 20, 2019, 9:07 pm Eastern
We have an American League West matchup for our consideration on Saturday night when the Seattle Mariners visit Anaheim for a contest with the Los Angeles Angels. Seattle is currently tied for first place with the Houston Astros in the American League West and is planning on left-hander Yusei Kikuchi to take the ball against the Angels. Los Angeles is sitting in last place in the AL West and intends on sending righty Trevor Cahill out to the bump on Saturday night. I’m the Flash and will be discussing this game with you today.
Seattle Blows 8 Run Lead and Still Defeat Angels
Seattle had a great start to their 2019 campaign and are tied for first place in the West with Houston with a record of 14 wins and eight defeats. Seattle is coming off being swept at home by the Cleveland Indians and took game one of this four-game series with the Angels by a score of 11-10. Seattle blew an eight-run lead on Thursday night before finally winning the game on a pinch-hit single by Jay Bruce. Ryon Healy hit a pair of bombs and Omar Narvaez hit a three-run shot to lead the Mariners past the Angels in Anaheim.
└📂 Dingerz pic.twitter.com/R4Iw6GjOd6
— Seattle Mariners (@Mariners) April 19, 2019
Seattle isn’t listing any significant injuries they haven’t already been dealing with since Spring Training.
Kikuchi (0-1, 4.23 ERA) has already made five starts to the season and the White Sox roughed him up over his five innings of seven-hit and five strikeout ball. Kikuchi allowed four earned runs while walking just one in his no-decision against Chicago. Kikuchi has a 4.23 ERA and his 4.33 xFIP suggests Kikuchi may have been a bit lucky in his previous starts this season. Kikuchi hasn’t faced these current Angels in his career, so we don’t have the luxury of looking at BvP to help us here.
Seattle ranks eighth in baseball against left-handed pitching with a .219 ISO, wOBA of .345 and wRC+ of 125 with a 25 percent strikeout rate against southpaws this season.
Angels Worst in Baseball Against Southpaws
The Angels are off to a rough start to the 2019 season and their record of eight wins and 11 losses leave them in the basement of the AL West. Los Angeles has lost four consecutive games including a three-game sweep by the Texas Rangers and mounted a tremendous comeback only to fall short to the Mariners on Thursday night. Kole Calhoun and David Fletcher each hit bombs for the Angels and closer Cody Allen blew his save opportunity and took the loss for Los Angeles.
FLETCH BABY pic.twitter.com/jaSM5PxUec
— Los Angeles Angels (@Angels) April 19, 2019
The Angels have a long-disabled list with the most significant being Justin Upton, who is out for 8-12 weeks with turf toe. Upton hit 30-bombs and drove in 85 runs in 2018 and is missed in the Angels lineup.
Cahill (1-1, 4.50 ERA) is coming off a tough outing against the Rangers in which he allowed four earned runs on five hits including two bombs over four innings pitched for a no-decision. Cahill also walked two and had a pair of strikeouts in what amounted to a 12-7 loss to the Rangers. Cahill has an ERA of 4.50 and his 4.83 xFIP suggests Cahill might have been a bit lucky this season. Seattle hitters has had some moderate success against Cahill over their career, blasting two bombs and slashing .247/.323/.416/.739 with 15 strikeouts over 89 at bats.
Los Angeles is dead last in baseball against left-handed pitching with a .099 ISO, wOBA of .243 and wRC+ of 54 to go along with a 16 percent strikeout rate.
- Mariners are 7-0 in their last 7 road games.
- Mariners are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mariners are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 Saturday games.
- Angels are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
- Angels are 0-4 in their last 4 games after losing the first 2 games of a series.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Seattle has a strong offense against right-handed pitching and Cahill can be a gas can at times, so I suspect the Mariners will put enough runs on the board to give Kikuchi enough breathing room. Los Angeles is the worst offense in baseball against lefties and I don’t see how the Mariners lose this game on Saturday night. I saw the following trends I think might be helpful for Saturday night.
- Mariners are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
- Mariners are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles.
We make “Cash with the Flash” when we play the Mariners on Saturday night.
Full-Game Total Pick
Los Angeles has a tough time scoring runs consistently and the Mariners don’t seem to have any trouble scoring. I don’t see the Angels doing much if anything at all against Kikuchi and I suspect Cahill will surrender a few runs and get yanked, making this a bullpen game the Angels don’t excel in. I saw this trend that I think might be helpful on Saturday night.