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Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Prediction,
and Odds - 4-20-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#957 Washington
Nationals -215
#958 Miami
Marlins 7

Saturday, April 20, 2019 at 6:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Washington Nationals

9 - 9


Miami Marlins

5 - 15


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins

Where and when:  Marlins Park, Miami, Florida, Saturday, 6:20 pm EST

The Washington Nationals will take on the Miami Marlins in game two of a three-game set at Marlins Park in Miami, Florida, on Saturday afternoon beginning at 6:20 pm EST.  After losing three of four games, including game one of a three-game series versus the San Francisco Giants, the Nationals were able to shine on the mound for the remainder of the set as they enter this matchup on a two-game winning streak.  

Washington has not had many problems putting runs on the board throughout the year as they are ranked in the top ten within every major category for the league.  However, their defense has certainly been the problem as their pitching staff possesses an ERA of 5.00 for the year (1.38 WHIP/17th). However, they ended their series with the Giants allowing just two runs in the finale, thanks to a dominating performance from Patrick Corbin at the mound.  After an extended homestand, the Nationals will hit the road, where they have won three of four games entering this matchup.  

The Marlins have dropped nine of ten games along with four straight as they were swept in a three-game set versus the Chicago Cubs in their last series.  Unfortunately, the offense continues to rank next to last in the league in runs per game (2.53) as they scored a total of two runs during their set versus the Cubs.  Also, during their four-game skid, they have only posted three runs, total. On the other hand, their defense has not stepped up at all in allowing 20 runs during their skid.  For the year, the Marlins are allowing over five runs per game while the defense has committed 14 errors in 2019.

Neil Walker leads the team in batting average at .222; However, the team is batting .216, as a whole.  Home field advantage has also not been good for the Marlins as they have dropped five of their last six games, overall, at Marlins Park.  

Urena looks to build from last outing on mound

Jose Urena (0-3) has had some terrible outings this year for the Marlins in allowing 15 earned runs in just four starts.  And despite having 17 strikeouts, the right-hander has an elevated ERA of 6.53 on the season. Nonetheless, he was much better in his last matchup versus the Philadelphia Phillies on the road in going over six innings while allowing just one earned run along with seven strikeouts in a 3-1 victory on April 14th, 2019.

Furthermore, Urena has won two straight outings (at home and on the road) versus the Nationals.  In fact, his last meeting with Washington at home resulted in a 5-0 win along with a victory at the mound for Urena after pitching 6 ⅓ innings while allowing just one earned run in addition to recording six strikeouts on July 29th, 2018.  The performance atoned for a 9-5 loss suffered by the Marlins at home to Washington just a month before when the right-hander pitched a quality game, yet allowed four earned runs along with two homers.

Michael Taylor (.364) has had the most experience for the Nationals in facing Urena.  However, Kurt Suzuki (.200 on 11 AB) along with Matt Adams (.067 on 15 AB) have struggled mightily versus the right-hander in their careers.

Scherzer looks to avoid third straight dismal outing

Max Scherzer (1-2) has struck out 35 batters on the year while possessing a 3.33 ERA on the year.  Nonetheless, Scherzer has really struggled in his last two outings on the mound. In fact, he has permitted seven earned runs during this time, thus contributing to Washington’s dreary performances on the hill to begin the year.  The right-hander continues to be durable for the Nationals in pitching quality outings in three of his four starts of 2019.

Scherzer pitched well in his last meeting versus the Marlins at Nationals Park in his last start of 2018 as he went seven innings while allowing one earned run along with ten strikeouts in a 9-4 win.  He had a similar performance in his last meeting with Miami at Marlins Park in going eight innings with one earned run in a 9-1 victory.  Furthermore, he also recorded 11 strikeouts during the contest.

Martin Prado (.467) along with Starlin Castro (.313) have had tons of success and experience in facing Scherzer; However, Miguel Rojas (.250) along with Curtis Granderson (.270) have also had their fair share of contact versus the right-hander, as well.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

I will certainly back Scherzer on the mound in this contest versus a Marlins team that continues to struggle in every aspect of the game.  As stated, they have dropped four of their last five home games while their pitching staff continues to rank amongst the worst in the league.  Look for Washington to take advantage of this fact on Saturday as they will cruise to victory in game two.

Prediction: Pick:  Washington Nationals -225

Full-Game Total Pick

The Marlins have allowed five runs during their current losing streak.  The Nationals, on the other hand, have permitted an average of over four runs per game during their last four outings, overall.  As stated, each of these teams have struggled on the hill. And while Scherzer will get into the win column with a solid performance, look for each team to have more than enough opportunities to get some runs across the plate.

Prediction: Pick: Over 7

Full-Game Prop Bet

I will back the Nationals in this instance as their dangerous offense will get some hits that result in runs early on.  Of course, with Scherzer on the mound, one should look for the Marlins lineup to struggle a bit.  In all, look for the Nationals to obtain a lead early while allowing Scherzer to neutralize an offense for the Marlins that has struggled mightily throughout the young season.

Prediction: Pick: Washington Nationals -1.5

First Five Innings Side Pick

The Nationals will cruise as the fifth inning comes to a close as they will cover the run line due to their ability to obtain some hits early off Urena.  As pointed out, Miami’ pitching staff has been one of the worst in the league leading up to this matchup.  Of course, Washington has not been much better, yet, one can certainly rely on Scherzer to hold it down in this contest.

Prediction: Pick: Washington Nationals -0.5

First Five Innings Total Bet

With the way both pitching staffs have performed this year, I will side with the over after five innings.  Urena has struggled to begin the year, which should really be a positive for a Washington offense that really hit its stride at home in their prior series versus the Giants.  In all, look for the scoreboard to light up early in this showdown on Saturday.

Prediction: Pick: Over 4

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

The Nationals will cash in on the run line at the half-way mark of this contest as Scherzer’s ability to neutralize the offense for Miami along with their offense continuing to string together hits with the aim of putting runs on the board.  As stated, the Nationals are indeed a dangerous offensive team; Yet, the squad has struggled due to their inability to remain consistent on the hill as well as on defense.  In other words, with Scherzer on the hill, look for this game to be dominated by the visitors.

Prediction: Pick: Washington Nationals -215

Falepa Emme

A true analyst for a variety of sports, Falepa Emme has been a sports enthusiast for decades. His ability to read, learn, write, and constantly think sports will offer a unique perspective to NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL, along with MLB contests. Falepa's passion for analytics in each of these areas will certainly benefit the reader in obtaining more insight into upcoming match-ups.


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