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Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
MLB: Tuesday, April 23, 2019, Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri, 7:45 PM ET
The Milwaukee Brewers will face off against the St. Louis Cardinals in the second game of a three-game series at Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri, Tuesday night. These two teams opened the season with a four-game series in Milwaukee, and the Brewers won it 3-1, while they also won a three-game home series 2-1 last week. Zach Davies will get the ball for the Brewers on this one, while Michael Wacha will get the starting nod for the Cardinals. The tip-off is set at 7:45 PM ET.
The Brewers are looking to bounce back from a poor performance against the Dodgers
The Milwaukee Brewers defeated the Cardinals two times last week along with a 6-3 defeat in the closing game of the series. After that loss, the Brewers welcomed the Los Angeles Dodgers in a four-game series, winning the third clash 5-0 while losing the other three including a 6-5 defeat that decided the series on Sunday. Interestingly, both Brewers and Dodgers scored 14 runs each over that four contests. The Brewers are scoring 4.91 runs per game (13th in the league) on 8.39 hits while recording a .254 batting average (14th) and a .334 on-base percentage (also 14th).
Zach Davies will take the hill for the Brewers tonight, and he’s 2-0 in four starts this season with a 1.19 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, 15 strikeouts, and nine walks, allowing 20 hits and three earned runs. The Brewers are 4-1 in Davies’ last five starts, while the right-hander is 35-25 in his career with a 3.90 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, 347 strikeouts, and 138 walks in 477.1 innings of work. Christian Yelich is leading the way for the Brewers’ bats this season, recording 30 hits, 13 home runs, 31 RBIs, a.353 batting average, and a .456 on-base percentage.
The Cardinals dominated the Mets during the weekend
St. Louis Cardinals opened a nine-game homestand with a 2-1 series victory over the New York Mets. The Cardinals started with a 5-4 loss, but they dominated their rivals in the next two games, winning 10-2 on Saturday and 6-4 on Sunday. They scored all six runs in the closing game over the first three innings, while Dakota Hudson pitched five innings to earn his first win on the season. The Cardinals are scoring 5.48 runs per game (7th in the league) on 8.76 hits while recording a .256 batting average (13th) and a .336 on-base percentage (12th).
Michael Wacha will take the mound for the Cardinals tonight, and he’s 1-0 in four starts this season with a 4.64 ERA, a 1.59 WHIP, 24 strikeouts, and 14 walks, giving up 20 hits and 11 earned runs. The Cardinals are 2-4 in Wacha’s previous six starts, while the right-hander is 54-32 in his career with a 3.79 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, 679 strikeouts, and 260 walks in 762.1 innings of work. Paul DeJong and Kolten Wong are leading the way for the Cardinals’ bats this season. DeJong has 28 hits, 11 RBIs, a .326 batting average, and a .389 on-base percentage, while Wong has 19 hits, 13 RBIs, a .288 batting average, and a .422 on-base percentage.
St. Louis Cardinals:
- 2-9 in the last 11 meetings with Milwaukee
- 4-11 in the previous 15 home matchups with Milwaukee
- 8-3 in the last 11 games on the road as underdogs
- 8-0 in the last eight road meetings with the NL Central
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Brewers defeated the Cardinals in five of their first seven H2H duels this season it two series at home, while they beat the Cardinals in 11 of the previous 15 encounters in St. Louis. The Brewers will face Michael Wacha who’s 6-0 in 12 starts against them. Every streak has an end, and I think the Brewers are in a good position to finally beat Wacha, so I’m backing them to grab a victory tonight. Milwaukee is 8-3 in its last 11 outings on the road when listed as a dog.
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers (+110)
Full-Game Total Pick
The under has hit in four of seven H2H duels in St. Louis, while the over is 4-2-1 in the first seven H2H meetings this season. Both teams are playing well offensively at the moment, so I’m backing the over, expecting the bats to perform at a high level.
Prediction: Over 8.5 (-125)
Full-Game Prop Bet
The Cardinals made whopping 18 hits last night, while they had eight or more hits in the previous 11 games overall. The Cardinals’ bats will have a difficult job against Zach Davies, but they are on a great run, so I’m backing them to surpass a 7-hit mark.
Prediction: Team Hits: St. Louis Cardinals over 7.5 (-135)
First Five Innings Side Pick
The opening game of the series had eight runs in the first five innings. The Cardinals previous eight games overall saw five or more runs over the first five innings, while six of the Brewers’ last nine contests overall saw five or more runs over the first five innings. Also, all eight head-to-head duels this season had at least five runs in the first five innings, so I have to take the over.
Prediction: Over 4.5 (-125)