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Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres Prediction,
Preview,
and Odds - 4-23-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#929 Seattle
Mariners 8
#930 San Diego
Padres -125

Tuesday, April 23, 2019 at 10:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Seattle Mariners
E. SWANSON

16 - 9

0
W's
1
L's
1.5
ERA
0.33
WHIP

San Diego Padres
N. MARGEVICIUS

12 - 11

1
W's
2
L's
3.6
ERA
0.9
WHIP

Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres

Where: Petco Park, San Diego, California

When: Tuesday, April 23, 2019, 10:10 pm Eastern

We have an inter-league Major League Baseball game to consider for Tuesday evening when the Seattle Mariners and San Diego Padres meet for game one of a two-game series under clear skies in Petco Park. Seattle is in first place in the AL West and is planning on righty Eric Swanson to take the hill for the Mariners. The Padres are in second-place in the NL West and lefty Nick Margevicius will likely pitch for the Padres. I’m the Flash and am pleased to be the one to discuss this matchup with you today.

Seattle in First Place in AL West

The Mariners bounced back from a series sweep at the hands of the Cleveland Indians by winning three of four against the Los Angeles Angels in Anaheim. Seattle improved their road record to 11-2 with the series win and now the Mariners are back in first place with a record of 16 wins and 11 losses and one game ahead of the Houston Astros.

Seattle ranks first in the American League in hitting and averaging 6.4 runs per game this season. Jay Bruce leads the Mariners with nine bombs, Domingo Santana leads Seattle with 26 RBI and Daniel Vogelbach is hitting .327 and gets on base in 47 percent of his at-bats to lead the Mariners.

The Mariners pitching staff ranks seventh in the American League with a team ERA of 4.44 and their 4.33 xFIP suggests the Mariners pitching staff might have had a bit of bad luck thus far this season. Marco Gonzalez leads the Mariners with four wins, Roeinis Elias has four saves and Cory Gearrin and Zac Rosscup each has four holds for Seattle this season.

Swanson (0-1, 3.38 ERA) is making his second start and third appearance for the Mariners and is coming off a two-hit, one earned run, 1-0 loss to the Cleveland Indians. Swanson allowed a solo bomb while striking out five Indians hitters without a single walk in his quality start. Swanson boasts a 3.38 ERA and his 3.25 xFIP suggests more of the same might be in the cards. Swanson hasn’t faced these Padres hitters, so we don’t have BvP to help us here.

Seattle isn’t listing any significant injuries for their series with San Diego.

The Mariners rank first in baseball against left-handed pitching with a .328 ISO, .415 wOBA and 169 wRC+ with a 23 percent strikeout rate against southpaws this season.

Padres Lose Six of Last Seven Games

The Padres have dropped six of their last seven games and currently sitting in second place in the National League West with a record of 12 wins and 11 losses. San Diego avoided being swept at home by defeating the Cincinnati Reds by a score of 4-3. The losses knocked the Padres from first place and now they find themselves 2.5 games behind the Dodgers.

San Diego ranks 11th in the National League in offense, averaging 3.34 runs per game. Rookie shortstop Fernando Tatis leads the Padres with six bombs and has a team-high 12 RBI and Wil Myers leads San Diego with a .303 batting average this season.

The Padres pitching staff ranks fourth in the National League with a team ERA of 3.80 and their team xFIP of 3.88 suggests this staff might have had some bad luck thus far this season.  Joey Lucchesi leads San Diego with three wins, Kirby Yates leads San Diego and baseball with ten saves and Craig Stamman has a team-leading eight holds this season.

Margevicius (1-2, 3.60) is slated to take the bump and is coming off a rough start against the Rockies, allowing five earned runs on seven hits with one walk, seven strikeouts and one bomb over four innings pitched for his second loss of the season. Margevicius has a 3.60 ERA and his 3.78 xFIP suggests possibly more of the same for Margevicius this season. Margevicius hasn’t faced any of the Mariners during his MLB career so no BvP for us today.

San Diego ranks 23rd in baseball against right-handed pitching with a .149 ISO, wOBA of .291 and wRC+ of 84 with a 25 percent strikeout rate against righties this season.

The Padres has a lengthy injured list with the most significant being outfielder Franchy Cordero, who will miss this series with an elbow injury. Cordero is their best defensive outfielder and his offense was stalled due to that bad elbow.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet
Rating:

Seattle has a road record of 11-2 and is playing a team with a home record of 5-8 this season. Seattle also has the best offense against southpaws and Margevicius allows 1.35 bombs per nine innings and has some crazy reverse splits at home favoring left-handed bats. San Diego doesn’t score many runs and they are in for a tough matchup against a side averaging just over six runs per game this season. We make “Cash with the Flash” when we play Seattle on Tuesday night.

Prediction: Seattle +117

Full-Game Total Pick
Rating:

I don’t much about either pitcher but I suspect we will see some runs put on the scoreboard on Tuesday night. The Mariners score runs and the Padres score enough that we should see about nine runs in this ballgame. We also have two bottom 15 bullpens in baseball to further the belief that runs will be scored. I saw the following trends I think might be helpful for this game on Tuesday.

  • Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in San Diego.
  • Over is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings.

We make “Cash with the Flash” when we play the over on Tuesday night.

Prediction: Over 8 Runs

Phil Naessens

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