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Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction,
and Odds - 4-24-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#953 Washington
Nationals 11
#954 Colorado
Rockies -165

Wednesday, April 24, 2019 at 3:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Washington Nationals

11 - 11


Colorado Rockies

10 - 14


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Washington Nationals vs Colorado Rockies

Where: Coors Field, Denver Colorado

When: Wednesday, April 24, 2019, 3:10 pm Eastern

We have a National League matchup on Wednesday afternoon to consider when the Washington Nationals meet the Colorado Rockies under partly cloudy skies for an afternoon baseball game. Washington is in fourth place in the National League East and is planning on righty Anibal Sanchez to tame the Rockies bats. Colorado is in fourth place in the National League West and hopes that right-hander German Marquez can keep the ball in the park against the Nationals. I’m the Flash and looking forward to discussing this game with you today.

Nationals Has Dropped Three of Last Five Games

The Nationals is in fourth place in the National League East and has lost three of their last five games. The Washington offense ranks eighth in the National League and their pitching staff ranks 13th in the National League with a team ERA of 4.98 and their 4.13 staff xFIP suggests maybe the Nationals pitching staff has been a bit unlucky thus far this season. In any event, a win on Wednesday would be a terrific thing and give Washington some momentum as they head home for a seven-game homestand.

Washington isn’t listing any significant injuries they haven’t been dealing with for at least the past three weeks.

Sanchez (0-2, 4.91 ERA) will get the ball for Washington and is coming off his second loss of the season, allowing three earned runs while scattering five hits, walking four and striking out six Miami Marlins hitters over 5.1 innings pitched. Sanchez boasts a 4.91 ERA and his 4.96 xFIP suggests this is the pitcher that Sanchez is at this point of the season. Sanchez is striking out 6.95, walking 4.50 and allowing 1.23 bombs per nine innings pitched. The current Rockies has had success against Sanchez with five bombs and 30 strikeouts and a .239/.234/.419/.712 slash line in 117 at-bats over their career against Sanchez.

The Nationals rank 12th in baseball against right-handed pitching with a .203 ISO, .341 wOBA and wRC+ of 108 with a 24 percent strikeout rate against righties this season.

Colorado Has Won Seven Out of Past Ten Games

The Rockies is in fourth place in the National League West with a record of 10 wins and 13 losses. Colorado has won seven of their last ten games with the tenth ranked offense in the National League and the National Leagues fifth-ranked pitching staff boasting a staff ERA of 4.07 with a 4.31 xFIP suggesting maybe this pitching staff has been a bit lucky this season. The Rockies are looking to close out the Nationals before heading out for a road trip that includes Atlanta and the Milwaukee Brewers.

Colorado has a lengthy injured list but isn’t listing any significant injuries in the past three weeks.

Marquez (2-1, 2.25) was roughed up by the Phillies in his last start, allowing two earned runs over five innings pitched. Marquez scattered 10 hits with five strikeouts and two walks in the no-decision against the Phillies. Marquez has a terrific 2.25 ERA but his 3.41 xFIP suggests some regression might be in store for the right-hander. Marquez is striking out 8.44, walking 2.25 and allowing less than one bomb per nine innings pitched this season. The sample size is only 32 at-bats, but the Nationals is slashing .219/.257/.313/.570 with seven strikeouts over their career against Marquez.

The Rockies rank 21st in baseball against righties and has a .161 ISO, wOBA of .299  and wRC+ of 68 with a 24 percent strikeout rate against right-handers this season.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

Both sides are high-tailing out of Denver so this is a getaway day for both clubs. What this game boils down to is which pitcher will likely keep the ball in the yard, and that pitcher is most likely Marquez and his 13-9 home record and 4.51 ERA over the past three seasons. Over the last three seasons, Sanchez has a 5.44 road ERA and that won’t cut it in Coors Field. I saw the following trend that might be helpful for Wednesday afternoon.

  • Nationals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings.

We make “Cash with the Flash” when we play the Rockies.

Prediction: Rockies

Full-Game Total Pick

It’s Coors Field and since 2007, 52 percent of the Rockies home games exceed the total. Vegas hasn’t set that total yet but it’s safe to say we’re going to see some runs scored and I do believe this game will exceed whatever total Vegas traipses out there. I saw the following trends that I think might be helpful for Wednesday afternoon.

  • Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Colorado.
  • Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.

We make “Cash with the Flash” when we play the over on Wednesday afternoon.

Prediction: Over

Phil Naessens

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