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Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction,
and Odds - 4-26-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#969 Baltimore
Orioles 9.5
#970 Minnesota
Twins -185

Friday, April 26, 2019 at 8:10pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Baltimore Orioles

10 - 16


Minnesota Twins

13 - 9


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins

Where and when:  Target Park, Minneapolis, Minnesota, Friday, 8:10 pm EST

The Baltimore Orioles will travel to Target Park in Minneapolis, Minnesota, in game one of a three-game set versus the Minnesota Twins beginning on Thursday night at 8:10 pm EST.  

The Orioles continue to suffer, particularly on the hill, as their pitching staff currently possesses an ERA of 6.03 for the year.  Nonetheless, after allowing twelve runs in game one of a three-game series versus the Chicago White Sox, they were able to pull things together in picking up wins in the last two outings of the set.  In all, the two wins were the only victories in the last six outings for a Baltimore team that is ranked last within the AL East.  

Unfortunately for the Orioles, they will now face a Twins team that swept them only a few days ago.  In fact, during the three-game set, the Twins poured in close to nine runs per game.  The Orioles, on the other hand, posted an average of five runs during the series, keeping in line with their 4.54 runs per game average on the year.  Trey Mancini leads the team in batting average at .337 while Baltimore bats .244 as a team.  Furthermore, the team has 31 homers on the year (15th) while also recording 13 stolen bases (10th).  

The Minnesota Twins, after a huge game one victory on the road in a three-game set versus the Houston Astros, suffered losses in the final two games after being outscored 17-5 during this time.  The first place team in the AL Central failed to win their second straight series, however, ended their six-game road trip on a winning note in going 4-2.  

Nonetheless, the Twins’ offense were not able to get anything going in games two and three.  And for a team that has relied on their offense in which to remain competitive throughout this young season, it certainly signals an alarm.  On the other hand, one can say that they were facing a team in the Houston Astros that possesses a strong pitching staff along with an offense that is attempting to catch some fire after an average start to the year.  

In all, the Twins have dropped three of their last four games at Target Park; However, the Orioles have played much better on the road as opposed Orioles Park in winning seven of their last 13 outings.    

Perez set to start for Twins

Martin Perez (2-0) has pitched quality innings in his past two starts while also having an elevated ERA of 5.31 on the year.  However, in his last outing, despite getting the win, the left-hander allowed four earned runs along with two homers in a 16-7 victory on the road versus the Orioles on April 20th.  The matchup was the first for Perez against the Orioles after coming over from the Texas Rangers in free-agency earlier in the year. Perez met the Orioles on the road while suiting up for the Rangers, however, as the meeting resulted in a 1-0 loss on July 14th, 2018, as he pitched seven innings while allowing only one earned run on five hits.

Perez has been up and down on the year as he graced the mound as a reliever in three straight games to begin the season.  During this time, he allowed a whopping seven earned runs in 7.4 innings. As a starter, he has allowed five earned on 13 hits in two starts.  Mancini is batting .400 versus Perez while Joey Rickard, Chris Davis, along with Jonathan Villar are all batting .200 or less versus the left-hander.

Cobb seeking much more consistency on the hill

Alex Cobb (0-1) will take the hill for the Orioles in game one of this set.  And while this will be just Cobb’s second start on the season, he will certainly be hoping to have a much better outing this time around after allowing nine earned runs on ten hits in just 2 ⅔ innings of pitching in a 16-7 defeat to the Twins at Orioles Park on April 20th.  His only other start of the year was versus the New York Yankees to where he pitched a tad over five innings while allowing two earned in an 8-4 loss to where he received the no-decision on April 4th.  In all, Cobb has only six strikeouts on the year while possessing an ERA of 11.88 entering this contest.

The Twins lineup is currently batting a tad under .300 versus Cobb as Jonathan Schoop (.273 on 22 AB), CJ Cron (.268 on 14 AB), in addition to Nelson Cruz (.348 on 24 AB) have all shined versus Cobb in their respective careers. Cron and Nelson have each hit two homers off the right-hander while the team has 16 RBI’s lifetime versus Cobb, as well.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

Look for Minnesota to get back on track in this matchup as Cobb on the mound for Baltimore certainly tips the scales in favor of the home team.  Also, the lineup has had tons of experience when facing Cobb while the right-hander continues to have horrible bouts of inconsistency during his early starts this year.  While runs will be scored, the Orioles will be outplayed at the plate while dropping game one to the Twins on the road.

Prediction: Pick:  Minnesota Twins -190

Full-Game Total Pick

As stated, Cobb has been horrible all season long on the hill.  Of course, the Twins will be looking to play much better on the offensive end after being owned by the Astros in their prior series.  With that being said, look for the high-scoring Twins to get back to their winning ways at the plate as the over will indeed be the strong play on Friday.

Prediction: Pick: Over 9.5

Full-Game Prop Bet

The Twins will cover the run line in this contest over an Orioles team that continues to fail within their pitching rotation.  Add to this that the Twins continue to be one of the most dangerous offensive teams in the league, look for them to cruise in this contest on Friday.

Prediction: Pick: Minnesota Twins -1.5

First Five Innings Side Pick

Alex Cobb, as stated, has really had a rough go of it to begin the season.  In fact, his problems have been well documented during last year’s campaign as well for the Orioles.  With that being said, look for the Twins to capitalize off this early and often as they will possess a comfy lead heading into the sixth.

Prediction: Pick: Minnesota Twins -0.5

First Five Innings Total Bet

I will strongly back the over in this instance as an offensive team in the Twins will be going up against a pitcher that continues to habitually struggle on the mound in Cobb.  In all, the home team will obtain some hits early while getting more than a few runs across the plate in the first five innings of this contest in which to allow the over to be the play.

Prediction: Pick: Over 5

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

Again, look for the Twins to cash in on the money line as the fifth inning comes to a close.  As stated, they will do this primarily off their ability to make contact off the Orioles pitching as they are one of the worst in the league.  Bank on the Twins to pull ahead early in this game en route to the victory.

Prediction: Pick: Minnesota Twins -165

Falepa Emme

A true analyst for a variety of sports, Falepa Emme has been a sports enthusiast for decades. His ability to read, learn, write, and constantly think sports will offer a unique perspective to NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL, along with MLB contests. Falepa's passion for analytics in each of these areas will certainly benefit the reader in obtaining more insight into upcoming match-ups.


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