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Cleveland Indians vs. Houston Astros
MLB: Friday, April 26, 2019, Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas, 8:10 PM ET
The Cleveland Indians will take on the Houston Astros in the second game of their four-game series at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas, this Friday night. The Indians will start Corey Kluber, while Collin McHugh will be on the other side for the Astros. The tip-off is set at 8:10 PM ET.
The Indians continue to chase the Twins
The Cleveland Indians entered the matchup with the Astros off a two-game series versus the Miami Marlins. The Indians lost the opening clash to Miami 3-1, but they bounced back with a 6-2 victory in the second game. Cleveland is currently sitting at the second spot of the AL Central. The Indians are scoring 3.91 runs per game (23rd in the league) while recording a .213 batting average (28th) and a .306 on-base percentage (22nd). They are allowing 3.87 runs in a return (6th in the league) with a 3.58 ERA (tied-7th).
Corey Kluber will take the mound for the Indians tonight, and he’s 2-2 in five starts this season with a 5.88 ERA, a 1.62 WHIP, 29 strikeouts, and 12 walks, allowing 30 hits and 17 earned runs in 26 innings of work. Kluber is 6-3 in his nine starts against the Astros with a 2.83 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP, while the right-hander is 98-57 in his career with a 3.14 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, 1452 strikeouts, and 289 walks. Carlos Santana is leading the way for the Indians bats, tallying 25 hits, 13 RBIs, a .338 batting average, and a .467 on-base percentage.
The Astros are topping the AL West
The Houston Astros entered the matchup with the Indians off a 2-1 series victory to the Minnesota Twins, winning the last two games of the series 10-4 and 7-1. The Astros have dropped a few games on the road lately, but they’ve been playing extremely well at home, winning eight of their previous nine outings at Minute Maid Park. Houston is scoring 5.00 runs per game (13th in the league) while tallying a .282 batting average (1st) and a .356 on-base percentage (2nd). The Astros are giving up 3.83 runs per contest (5th in the league) with a 3.68 ERA (10th).
Collin McHugh will get the ball for the Astros tonight, and he’s 3-2 in five starts this season with a 4.78 ERA, a 1.06 WHIP, 28 strikeouts, and eight walks, allowing 20 hits and 14 earned runs in 26.1 innings of work. McHugh is 1-0 in two starts against the Indians, while the right-hander is 57-40 in his career with a 3.90 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, 717 strikeouts, and 210 walks. Jose Altuve, Michael Brantley, and Josh Reddick are all doing a great job at-bat this season. Altuve has 26 hits, nine home runs, 20 RBIs, a .277 batting average, and a .330 on-base percentage. Brantley has 29 hits, 18 RBIs, a .315 batting average, and a .373 on-base percentage, while Reddick has 27 hits, a.386 batting average, and a .427 on-base percentage.
- 13-4 in the last 17 games at home
- 13-3 in the last 16 outings as favorites
- 15-2 in the last 17 home meetings with the AL Central
- 2-6 in the last eight meetings with Houston
- 6-14 in the last 20 outings as underdogs
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Indians are struggling offensively, while the Astros’ bats are the best in the league. Corey Kluber is the Indians’ great strength, but he’ll have a tall task to outlast the Astros tonight. Houston is playing very well this term, especially at home, so I’m backing the Astros to beat the Indians. Still, I expect to see a tight battle, so I wouldn’t go with a run line.
Prediction: Houston Astros (-150)
Full-Game Total Pick
Five of the Indians’ last nine games overall were finished in the over, while the over has hit in four of the Astros previous five outings. Also, the over is 5-2 in Houston’s last seven games at home, and it is 6-1 in the previous seven head-to-head duels between Cleveland and Houston. Considering the betting trends and the Astros’ current form, I’m backing the over.
Prediction: Over 8.0 (-115)
Full-Game Prop Bet
The Indians had just four hits last night, while they are averaging 6.71 hits per game this season. Also, their batting average is the 3rd-worst in the league, so the Indians could struggle against Collin McHugh who allowed 20 hits in 26.1 innings of work this term. Hereof, I’m taking the visitors in the under on their team hits total.
Prediction: Team Hits: Cleveland Indians under 7.5 (-110)
First Five Innings Side Pick
We saw all three runs over the first five innings last night in a tight game where each team recorded just four hits. I expect a different scenario tonight, backing the over on the totals. Corey Kluber is not playing well at the start of the season which is the main reason why I think we’ll see more than eight runs in the total. Five of the Astros’ last seven games overall had six or more runs over the first five innings, so I’m backing the over.
Prediction: Over 4.5 (-120)