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Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets
MLB: Friday, April 26, 2019, Citi Field, Queens, New York, 7:10 PM ET
The Milwaukee Brewers and the New York Mets will open a three-game series at Citi Field in New York Friday night. These two foes will take on each other for the first time this season. Chase Anderson will get the ball for the Brewers, while Jacob deGrom will take the hill for the Mets. The tip-off is set at 7:10 PM ET.
The Brewers are looking to snap their four-game skid
The Milwaukee Brewers (13-13) have been swept by the Cardinals in a three-game series in St. Louis and are on a four-game losing streak following a 5-2 defeat in a closing game at Busch Stadium. The Brewers have dropped seven of their previous eight games including three losses to the Los Angeles Dodgers in a four-game series at home. Milwaukee is scoring 4.73 runs per game (17th in the league) while recording a .243 batting average (18th) and a .323 on-base percentage (16th). The Brewers are allowing 5.27 runs in a return (24th in the league) with a 5.35 ERA (26th).
Chase Anderson will get his second starting nod of the season tonight, and the right-hander is 2-0 in his six outings so far with a 3.00 ERA, a 1.13 WHIP, 18 strikeouts, and three walks in 15 innings of work. Anderson is 2-2 in his six starts against the Mets with a 3.94 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP, while he’s 47-36 in a career with a 3.87 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 615 strikeouts, and 237 walks in 733 innings of work. Christian Yelich is leading the Brewers’ bats, tallying 30 hits, 13 home runs, 31 RBIs, a .326 batting average, and a .438 on-base percentage.
The Mets continue their battle for the top of the NL East
The New York Mets (13-11) are coming off a 2-1 series win to the Philadelphia Phillies, but they lost the closing game 6-0. Jason Vargas pitched 4.2 innings, recording his first loss on the season, while the Mets continue with their shaky performance. Still, they are tied with the Phillies at the top of the NL East despite losing seven of their previous 11 games overall. The Mets are scoring 5.33 runs per game (10th in the league) while recording a .259 batting average (9th) and a .344 on-base percentage (6th). On the other side, they are allowing 5.83 runs per contest (28th in the league) with a 5.15 ERA (24th).
Jacob deGrom will take the mound for the Mets tonight, and the right-hander is 2-2 in four starts this season with a 3.68 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, 36 strikeouts, and seven walks in 22 innings of work. He will return to the starting lineup from an elbow injury, and deGrom is 3-2 in seven starts against the Brewers with a 4.17 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. Jacob is 57-43 in his career with a 2.69 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, 1036 strikeouts, and 229 walks in 919.2 innings of work. Pete Alonso and Jeff McNeil are leading the way for the Mets’ bats. Alonso has 26 hits, eight home runs, 21 RBIs, a .306 batting average, and a .404 on-base percentage, while McNeil has 29 hits, 11 RBIs, a .363 batting average, and a .440 on-base percentage.
New York Mets:
- 9-3 in the last 12 home meetings with Milwaukee
- 13-7 in the last 20 games at home
- 1-7 in the last eight games overall
- 2-7 in the previous nine games on the road
- 1-6 in the last seven outings as underdogs
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Neither of these two teams is playing in a good form, but the Brewers have been really struggling lately, so I’m backing the Mets to win by two or more runs in front of the home fans. Also, the Mets will start Jacob deGrom who’s arguably their best pitcher, while the Brewers will go with Chase Anderson who could easily struggle against the Mets’ bats that are playing in a good form this season.
Prediction: New York Mets -1.5 (+145)
Full-Game Total Pick
The Mets’ defense is among the worst in the league, but they are compensating with a good job at-bat. The over is 13-5-2 in the Mets’ previous 20 games overall. On the other side, the under has hit in six of the Brewers previous eight outings, but with the line at 7.5 runs, I have to take the over.
Prediction: Over 7.5 (-105)
Full-Game Prop Bet
In 15 innings of work, Chase Anderson allowed just 11 hits, but he will have a tall task against the Mets on the road. The Mets’ batting average is the 9th-best in the league, while they are averaging 9.08 hits per contest. Hereof, I’m backing the Mets to surpass their mark on the hit totals.
Prediction: Team Hits: New York Mets over 7.5 (-130)
First Five Innings Side Pick
Four of the Mets’ last six games had five or runs over the first five innings, while three of the Brewers’ previous six outings saw five or more runs over the first five innings. I expect to see a high-scoring affair tonight, and considering the offensive potential on both sides along with the stats in recent outings, I will take the over here.
Prediction: Over 3.5 (+105)