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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction,
and Odds - 5-15-2019

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Game Snapshot with Current Line

#905 Milwaukee
Brewers 8.5
#906 Philadelphia
Phillies -110

Wednesday, May 15, 2019 at 7:05pm

Image licensed from USA Today Sports

Game Stats

Milwaukee Brewers

25 - 19


Philadelphia Phillies

24 - 17


Featured Video from Scott Reichel

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Where and when:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, 7:05 pm EST

Two teams currently heading in different directions will meet on Wednesday night at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, as the Milwaukee Brewers will take on the Philadelphia Phillies at 7:05 pm EST.  

The Phillies were able to pick up a victory in the opener on Monday night in spite of pitcher Aaron Nola allowing three earned runs along with a homer.  Freddy Peralta only pitched four innings while permitting an earned run in the contest for the Brewers; However, the bullpen allowed five earned runs while Matt Albers (2-2) picked up the loss.  Lorenzo Cain went 5-6 from the plate with an RBI as the Brewers could not hold on to an early 4-2 lead, thus dropping their third straight.  

In fact, Milwaukee has slightly regressed since losing an all-important three-game series versus the Chicago Cubs in their prior series.  With the series defeat, the Brewers were knocked out of the first-place slot in the NL Central.  Furthermore, with six games remaining on their current, ten game road trip, Milwaukee really needs to re-ignite their offense, which has only plated six runs in their last three games.  However, this will not be easy for a Brewers team that shines at Miller Park with a record of 16-8, yet has only won eight of 19 road games entering the series.

As for the Phillies, they are riding high in winning three straight games.  In addition, they continue to sit atop the NL East division just ahead of the Atlanta Braves.  And while the Phillies are batting just .247 as a team thus far in the season, they continue to get solid performances from Cesar Hernandez, who hit a huge, three-run blast in their game one victory, along with Rhys Hoskins, who leads the team with 11 home runs on the year while batting .285, has a hit in each of the last three games for Philadelphia.  Much like the Brewers, the Phillies are an average team on the road, however, have dominated at Citizens Bank Park with a 15-7 record on the year.  

Phillies pitching remains solid during current winning streak

While no pitcher has been assigned for either team at this point, it is fair to say that Philadelphia has certainly gotten the most out of their pitching staff throughout the 2019 season.  The team is ranked 11th in the MLB in quality starts with 18 while the unit possesses a respectable 3.32 ERA, as well. Nola received the no-decision in the opener of this set while currently being 3-0 on the year.  He happens to be the most erratic, in my opinion, within the rotation with an ERA just under five. Furthermore, he has had issues with walks with a strikeout to walk ratio of 48/23.

On the other hand, Zack Eflin along with Jake Arrieta has won a combined nine games this year for Philadelphia while averaging six innings or more in 2019.  Also, these pitchers possess ERA’s of 3.78 and 2.47. In fact, Eflin has only allowed an average of two runs per start this year while the Phillies have picked up wins in each of his past three starts.  Arrieta, on the other hand, has struggled lately in allowing a total of 14 runs in his last four starts; Nonetheless, he is 3-1-1 in his last five starts at Citizens Bank Park.

Milwaukee is second in the league in strikeouts with 400; Yet, have only eight quality starts in 2019, good for 30th in the MLB.  However, the Brewers have continued to limit mistakes on the defensive end as they are ranked eighth in errors with 18.

No pitcher assigned for Brewers

As stated, Milwaukee’s offense has been a bit colder than usual, lately.  It is for this reason that they will likely need their pitching to step up during this time to remain in the hunt for first in the NL Central.  Zack Davies (4-0) has really shined on the hill for the Brewers this year, despite the team suffering a 2-1 loss to the Cubs in his last start.  Run support is an area where the Brewers have struggled with Davies on the mound as the team has only plated a total of 12 runs in his last five starts.  Nonetheless, with an ERA of 1.54 along with allowing 11 earned runs in eight starts this year, Davies has really been effective at pitching low in the strike zone along with piling up the outs for Milwaukee.

Jhoulys Chacin (3-4), despite having an ERA of 4.57 along with 21 walks on the year, continues to put in solid innings for the Brewers as well in allowing just three earned runs in his last three starts, overall.  In these outings, Chacin totalled 17 innings as Milwaukee has picked up victories in two of his last three starts, as well. Right-hander Chase Anderson is on the 10-day injured list at the time with a 2-0 record along with an ERA of 3.23 on the year.  He expects to be reinstated towards the end of the month.

The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.

Full-Game Side Bet

With the Phillies playing so well, particularly at home, look for them to eke out a slim victory over the Milwaukee Brewers in game three of this four-game set.  The Brewers are struggling at this time and may take a bit of time to get back in the flow of things after dropping such an emotional series versus Chicago. In all, Philadelphia will win its fourth straight game, overall, while widening its lead in their respective division.

Prediction: Pick:  Philadelphia Phillies -108

Full-Game Total Pick

Both teams have dangerous offenses that can break a game open with just one swing. Milwaukee will be looking to get back on the winning track while cranking up their offense, yet again, in which to put some victories under their belts.  Philadelphia, on the other hand, will be looking to extend its momentum in game three while continuing to pummel what has been exposed as being a wholly inconsistent pitching staff for Milwaukee.

Prediction: Pick: Over 9

Full-Game Prop Bet

While the Phillies will pull out a slim victory on Wednesday, look for the Brewers to come out focused after their win in game two of this four-game set.  Also, Gio Gonzalez (1-0) will come to the mound for the Brew Crew feeling much better after picking up his first win of the season after a string of no decisions in his prior starts.  In all, expect this game to be close to the end with both teams looking to take a commanding lead heading into the finale on Thursday.

Prediction: Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +1.5

First Five Innings Side Pick

Orlando Arcia (.200 on 10 AB) along with Ryan Braun (.233 on 30 AB) have had little success versus Phillies pitcher for game three in Jake Arrieta (4-3).  On the other hand, Hernan Perez, who has struggled throughout the year in batting just .243, has been red-hot versus Arrieta in batting .368 on 19 at bats.  With that being said, with Gonzales allowing just three earned runs in his last three road starts while sporting an ERA of 1.68 in 2019, one should look for this game to be a tight contest to where neither team will possess any type of advantage at the halfway point.

Prediction: Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +0.5

First Five Innings Total Bet

Again, Gonzalez has been solid on the mound this year, despite pitching just 16 innings, thus far.  He picked up a win while suiting up for the Washington Nationals in 2018 versus the Brewers in pitching five innings while allowing just two hits in a 7-3 win.  On the other hand, his last outing at Citizens Bank Park was a bit shaky as he allowed three earned runs (4 BB’s) in five innings in a 4-3 defeat to where he received the no decision.  Nonetheless, look for him to be sharp for this contest as the Brewers will be looking to erect themselves from a rough patch of play recently.  In all, the under will indeed be the strong play.

Prediction: Pick: Under 5

First Five Innings Prop Prediction

I will back the Brewers to cash in on the spread as the fifth inning comes to a close.  Arrieta, despite having a respectable ERA of 3.68 on the year, has really been shaky on the hill in allowing 11 earned in his last three starts.  Besides, he picked up two consecutive losses on the mound in June of 2018 versus the Brewers in allowing four earned in each contest as the Phillies were outscored 25-5 during these games.  Look for the visitors to have a slim advantage due to their success versus Arrieta as the sixth inning begins.

Prediction: Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -110

Falepa Emme

A true analyst for a variety of sports, Falepa Emme has been a sports enthusiast for decades. His ability to read, learn, write, and constantly think sports will offer a unique perspective to NBA, NCAAB, NCAAF, NHL, along with MLB contests. Falepa's passion for analytics in each of these areas will certainly benefit the reader in obtaining more insight into upcoming match-ups.


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