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The New York Mets and Washington Nationals will play the second game of their series here. The Mets were in free-fall for a while there, but seem to be getting back on track, while the Nationals have been mostly down. Wilmer Font will draw the start for New York, with Patrick Corbin taking the mound for the Nationals. Oddsmakers have the Nats as relatively large favorites for this one.
Mets Getting It Together?
This season looked like it was following the classic Mets formula of starting hot and then completely collapsing. The Mets went 9-4 to start the year, but then the losses started piling up and they lost 15 of 22.
They were circling the drain, and the media started to speculate about job security for the coaching staff. Things have picked up a little bit though, as they’ve won three of four entering this series. That being said, I’m not really buying any talk of a resurgence. Two of the three wins came against the Marlins, by far the worst team in the entire league. New York will have Wilmer Font on the mound here, and I’m not too optimistic about his chances. The Mets just traded for him last week, and this will be his second appearance with the team. Tampa had been using him as a long reliever, and he wasn’t very good, but he’s suddenly a starter for the Mets.
The owner of a lifetime 6.39 ERA, Font should struggle here on the road. The Mets are just 1-7 in their last eight road games, and they don’t hit lefties like Corbin very well. They’ve only scored more than four runs in two of their last 12 games, and the lineup is ice cold at the moment. There’s a reason Font has been around since 2012 but has never been able to stick in the majors…
Like the Mets, the Nationals also got off to a decent start and then collapsed. After losing Bryce Harper this offseason, some expected them to take a step back, but others thought their stellar starting rotation would carry them to new heights.
They’ll have Patrick Corbin, this offseason’s biggest acquisition, on the mound here. The lefty has looked quite good in his first year in the nation’s capital, entering this one with a 3.20 ERA. He’s already faced this Mets team twice this year, and he had a quality start in both outings. He has some really nasty stuff, as evidenced by his 58 strikeouts in 50 and 2/3 innings, and he should be able to pull off another good start against a Mets lineup that struggles with lefties. Washington’s bullpen has been a complete mess this year, but Corbin should be able to pitch deep enough into this game that it won’t matter.
A Dodgers lineup that has dominated at home all season had no answers for Patrick Corbin's slider pic.twitter.com/eaiVJW0Qbx
— Pitcher List (@PitcherList) May 10, 2019
He’s gone at least six innings in seven of his eight starts this season, so we shouldn’t have to see too much of Washington’s relievers. The Nationals’ lineup has been slumping just like the Mets’, but facing Font here should be good for what ails them. The pitching matchup is everything here, and the Nationals have a huge advantage here with their $140 million man.
- 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record
- 4-1 in Corbin’s last 5 starts
- 1-7 in their last 8 road games
- 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter
- 0-4 in their last 4 Wednesday games
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
The Nationals are a good bet here. Neither team is playing well at the moment, but the Nationals have the much better pitcher on the mound here. Font had his big league debut in 2012, but has never been able to stick in the majors, which tells you all you need to know. The Mets aren’t winning this one on the road with their terrible record away from home.
Prediction: Nationals -160
Full-Game Total Pick
I like the over even more here. Font should struggle just like he has all season, and the Nationals have the worst bullpen in the league so even if Corbin pitches well they might blow it. Even though both of these offenses are struggling, a total of eight is way too low.
Prediction: Over 8