Featured Video from Scott Reichel
Where: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City Missouri
When: Wednesday, May 15, 2019, 8:00 pm Eastern
We have an American League matchup to discuss for Wednesday evening when the Texas Rangers and Kansas City Royals meet under clear skies and game time temps in the lower 80’s. Texas is in fourth place in the American League West and plans on sending out to the bump lefty Mike Minor. Kansas City is in the last place in the American League Central Division and intends on right-handed pitcher Jorge Lopez handling the starting pitching chores for the Royals. I’m the Flash and will be reviewing this game for you today.
This is game two of a three-game series and this preview is being written prior to the start of Tuesday night’s game. All stats and opinions are based on what has occurred from the beginning of the season until Monday.
Rangers Have Serious Struggles on the Road
Texas is playing in what might be the most difficult division in the American League and has posted a 17-21 record and is currently eight games behind division leader Houston. Texas has a road record of five wins and 14 losses, has lost seven of their last ten games and on Tuesday night are hoping to end a four-game losing streak.
— Texas Rangers (@Rangers) May 13, 2019
The Rangers have a long injury list but nothing significant for Tuesday night’s game with Kansas City.
Minor (3-3, 2.68 ERA) is coming off a rough outing at Houston, scattering seven hits and allowing three earned runs over five innings pitched for his third loss of the season. Minor also walked three and struck out five in the 4-2 loss. Minor has a 2.68 ERA and his 4.17 xFIP suggests some serious regression might be headed his way at some point this season.
Minor strikes out 8.89 hitters per nine innings pitched and Kansas City and their 23 percent strikeout rate might have trouble with Minor and his one bomb per nine innings pitched might be okay against a Royals side with a .143 ISO against lefties this season.
Royals In Last Place in AL Central
Kansas City is rebuilding and their record of 14-27 suggests the Royals have some work to do. The Royals have a below .500 record at Kauffman Field of 9-13 and probably one reason why Kansas City is in the last place in the American League Central. Kansas City has lost seven of their last ten games and is hoping to end a two-game losing streak on Tuesday night against the Rangers.
The Royals have injuries and the most significant ones for this series occurred during Spring Training.
Lopez (0-4, 6.07 ERA) is coming off his worst start of the season, allowing six earned runs with three bombs over 2.1 innings pitched for his fourth loss of the season against the Houston Astros. Lopez also walked three and struck out two Astros in Houston. Lopez has a 6.07 ERA but his 4.59 xFIP suggests some regression might be in store at some point for Lopez this season. Maybe even Wednesday night?
— Royal Rundown (@RoyalRundown) May 13, 2019
Lopez strikes out 8.16 batters per nine innings pitched and that could bode well against a Rangers side with a 25 percent strikeout rate against right-handed pitching. Lopez walks 3.56 and allows 2.09 bombs per nine innings and that might be problematic against a Rangers side with a .203 ISO against righties this season.
- Royals are 11-4 in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Royals are 13-5 in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rangers are 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
- Rangers are 0-4 in their last 4 games on grass.
The Bottom Line What to bet on this game.
Full-Game Side Bet
Grab that number and bet the Royals with both hands on Wednesday. I do not trust the Texas Rangers on the road and until they string a few away wins together, they are a bad number to play. Lopez is not that bad and I see him racking up some strikeouts on Wednesday night. I like Minor, but not so much on the road where his road splits over the last three seasons are quite bad. We Cash with the Flash when we play the Royals to defeat the Rangers on Wednesday night.
Prediction: Royals -120
Full-Game Total Pick
This is another good play to Cash with the Flash. 10 runs seem like too many for the Rangers on the road and the Royals don’t score very many runs as evidenced by their minus 20 run differential. I like Lopez and I think he’s going to get a bunch of strikeouts against the Rangers and Minor could fool us and pitch well enough on the road to keep the Rangers in this game. Cash with the Flash by playing the under on Wednesday night!
Prediction: Under 10 Runs